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Zo ik heb een forse pluk opgepikt op 95,80. Nu lekker het terras op! Met ASML komt het helemaal goed!
mr.Franz schreef op 12 juni 2015 16:24 :
Zo ik heb een forse pluk opgepikt op 95,80. Nu lekker het terras op!
Met ASML komt het helemaal goed!
....sure mr.Franz, it's really good with 'asml'..., (for those d-traders with TA): - "st-sell/short" from just the r-zone at ~99.60 (yesterday), - cashing today at ~95.60 just (for weekend guarantee) around M--(95.62) .... return at least ~4.2% within the day.... nice weekend, indeed PS. And as prescribed, the 'aex' indeed hit its (first) target ~475 (see old posts)
SNSN schreef op 12 juni 2015 15:55 :
The market follows prescriptions incl. timing exactly - see yesterday posts:
and ALL comp-codes incorporate (almost) ALL existing "standard TA" indicators
4. For those that like "technique", don't forget that EUV is just a "technologic solution" providing a (small) progress on tactical horizon... within existing solutions (comps, phones, chips, etc.). On strategic horizons --> "quantum comps" and "quantum chips".... Again, don't forget of possible consequences if/when eu-reg would remove "tax-advantages" for 'asml' ....
That`s what I mean, the traders=comps are mostly acting like sheep, using similar code.... Regarding `small` technological progress, immersion ArF was introduced around 2006-2007, so already some 10 years ago, and are now the most important tools (ASML >90% marketshare) for lithography:www.komatsu.com/CompanyInfo/profile/r... So, perhaps EUV will also be just `small` progress lasting `only 10 years`.... perhaps just long enough to stay `fascinated by the r-zone`...` And for those TA-techies that want to talk about quantum computers being the next 'strategic horizon for your smart phone`, perhaps have a look here:uwaterloo.ca/institute-for-quantum-co... Have fun reading while drinking your beer.... EUV
Datum: 10 jun 2015 Advieswijziging: Omhoog Advies: Positief Koers op moment van advies: 96.800 Slotkoers: 96.800 Steun: 92.140 Weerstand: 103.450 ASML Holding heeft een gematigde opwaartse trend met het risico op een neerwaartse koersreactie. De indicatoren geven het volgende technische analyse beeld voor ASML Holding. De koers noteert boven het 50 daags voortschrijdend gemiddelde, dit is een indicatie van een opwaartse tendens voor de middellange termijn. Het 20 daags voortschrijdend gemiddelde is opwaarts gericht, dit geeft aan dat het korte termijn momentum positief is. Het 50 daags voortschrijdend gemiddelde stijgt, dit geeft aan dat het middellange termijn momentum positief is gericht. De MACD staat onder de MACD trigger lijn. Het korte termijn momentum is dus zwak. De Stochastics staat dermate laag dat een korte opwaartse koersreactie waarschijnlijk wordt.
ASL C SEP 2015 110,00 ingeslagen en DEC 2015 120,00 bijgekocht. Voor wie geïnteresseerd is; BESI bodemt op 23,50. Aanrader!
V-Ram schreef op 15 juni 2015 09:37 :
ASL C SEP 2015 110,00 ingeslagen en DEC 2015 120,00 bijgekocht. Voor wie geïnteresseerd is; BESI bodemt op 23,50. Aanrader!
Niet wat aan de korte kant ? (hoewel de cijfers waarschijnlijk weer zullen verbazen binnenkort)
EUV schreef op 12 juni 2015 19:29 :
[...]
That`s what I mean, the traders=comps are mostly acting like sheep, using similar code....
Regarding `small` technological progress, immersion ArF was introduced around 2006-2007, so already some 10 years ago, and are now the most important tools (ASML >90% marketshare) for lithography:
www.komatsu.com/CompanyInfo/profile/r... So, perhaps EUV will also be just `small` progress lasting `only 10 years`....
perhaps just long enough to stay `fascinated by the r-zone`...`
And for those TA-techies that want to talk about quantum computers being the next 'strategic horizon for your smart phone`, perhaps have a look here:
uwaterloo.ca/institute-for-quantum-co... Have fun reading while drinking your beer....
EUV
As for trading, you are right.... --> comp-trading is just trading... using "ta", and "bubble pumping" is just "pumping" (locking retailers, clients at high..., nothing more) As for, so-called, "new technologies" (chose your reading better --> commercial stuff don't open horizons.... they have other objectives as you know), don't forget that to keep up demands for "new" (old-type) devices (that may need smaller chips) on "tactical horizons" - there must be, at least, a strong move in, at least, the LTE (4g, 5g...) at ISPs ....(as well as many other stuff). That is certainly not the case - take a look at the state and "tactical future", for instance, eu-telcos... Actually they need a high level of consolidation, at least .... And that's almost impossible on a wide scale at the moment.... mainly due to reg constraints and actual state of real economy ...(at the asset-bubble --> "asset inflation" within the financial markets) And don't forget that 'asml' has (good) "tax-advantages" (eu-telcos - don't have them).... You probably know that the reg may just remove them... As for 'asml', it's testing the st-support zone around ~95.20 When it's broken down, the next short-term s-zone starts at ~93.20. As for d-trading, the stock is under the PP-line (PP=96.50), so that the d-sentiment is negative, and the d-supports are: S1=95.00 and S2=93.70 The 'asml' stock is highly correlated with the market ("beta" ~1.73), where the "structural" mechanisms continue to dominate for a couple of sessions (though, slightly) ....
elf schreef op 15 juni 2015 10:24 :
[...]
Niet wat aan de korte kant ?
(hoewel de cijfers waarschijnlijk weer zullen verbazen binnenkort)
Vind ze niet zo duur op dit moment.. risicootje waard.
V-Ram schreef op 15 juni 2015 11:06 :
[...]
Vind ze niet zo duur op dit moment.. risicootje waard.
Bloemen op de markt zijn om 5 uur ´s middags ook altijd goedkoop.
elf schreef op 15 juni 2015 11:13 :
[...]
Bloemen op de markt zijn om 5 uur ´s middags ook altijd goedkoop.
Haha das waar. Een leerproces als ik onderuit ga.
V-Ram schreef op 15 juni 2015 11:39 :
[...]
Haha das waar. Een leerproces als ik onderuit ga.
Je komt vanavond wel iets dichterbij.. ASML 95,20 17:37 96,04 22:00 +0,84 +0,88% (slot WS)
Standard (for negative d-sentiment) technical d-trading in the range: PP=95.6 and S1=94.51. The next d-support S2=93.75 (as you know, all pivot points pp/s/r for today were known yesterday) As for aex, it's testing critical level ~470 .... Though, there was a change in underlying drivers - the "non-structural" mechanisms (just effects of "financing currency") dominated since opening, indicating it's not just about Greece... However, the balance of structural/non-structural mechanisms may change again soon. Again, under the "critical level" the prob for further correction towards ~450 would rise essentially...
Sorry, it must be: PP=95.26 Resistance (d-resistance): R1=96.0; R2=96.76
Opinion: A Greek suicide wouldn’t hurt the rest of the eurozone By Anatole Kaletsky Published: June 16, 2015 10:33 a.m. ET
Het volgen van technische analyses, koersdoelen en een hoop meer mumbo jumbo van de grote namen in onze financiele wereld geeft in mijn mening een hoop valse en niet tijdige signalen en is in veel gevallen niet meer dan door de achteruitkijkspiegel kijkend de stad in rijden. Zelfs de knappe koppen van TOM2 zouden de juiste route niet voor je kunnen bepalen met de van zo vele economische en niet economische stuurLUI afhankelijke beurs zelf met gezond verstand en enige eigenwijsheid de laatste en relevante informatie verzamelen is wat velen zijn verloren in de cijferbrei van de financiele wereld.
As (higly overvalued) asml is correlated with the (highly overvalued) market, the ex-ante indicators - 'pivot points' for 'aex' may help... (these points were known yesterday - just google it for details): The "structural" drivers slightly dominate in aex... The pivot points for aex: Pivot point: PP=472.91 Resistance: R1=479.05; R2=482.92 Support: S1=469.04; S2=462.90 As you see, the d-sentiment is (slightly) positive, and the crucial (decision) point is M+(476.0) As from now, you can already see how it works - at ~11.00 the M+ was hit, but we couldn't make it above...., and had to retreat towards the PP-line... though, didn't break it down as well --> so far the d-sentiment is still slightly positive (determined by the positioning in respect to the PP-line) As for 'asml': Pivot point: PP=96.18 Resistance: R1=97.79; R2=98.87 Support: S1=95.13; S2=93.52 The crucial (decision) point is M+(97.00) So, the d-sentiment (for asml) could be seen as "neutral" at the moment..., though was slightly positive early morning...
Natuurlijk is ASML ´highly overvalued´ indien je de gebruikelijke vergelijkingen maakt maar de koers wordt voornamelijk bepaald door de al dan niet terechte winstverwachtingen die overigens door ASML zelf niet alleen in stand worden gehouden doch zelfs regelmatig naar voren gebracht.
@elf : hebben ze je, voor wat betreft de jaarresultaten, ooit teleurgesteld dan.....?
Hi 'elf', You probably forgot that current so-called "winstverwachtingen" (and price formation expectations ) are still based (i.e. are conditional) on "tax-advantages" which 'asml' received in the NL & EU. "....Last year ASML made a profit of 1.3 billion euros and paid 77 million to income tax. That is roughly 6 percent, while the income tax in the Netherlands is 25 percent. In 2012 and 2013 the company paid less than 1 percent of income tax in the Netherlands....". That is almost ~0.25 billion euros less than 'asml' had to pay last year .... "....ASML also makes use of the so called innovation-box tax scheme in the Netherlands, which aims to stimulate inventions and patents in the Netherlands. A company that makes profit from an innovation only hast to pay 5 percent income tax, instead of 25 percent. Because ASML makes use of both this tax scheme and the Belgium tax scheme, it cost the Dutch tax Authorities hundreds of millions of dollars over a number of years...." So far, it's the other NL "tax-payers" who actually heavily contribute to the 'asml' future "winstverwachtingen", dividends, share "buy-back programs" contributing to "bubble pumping" (which may in this case look like actually "price manipulation"). The prob is really high that it can't stay for a long time any more.... The reg would certainly interfere ..., resulting in well predicted consequences for highly overvalued stock. PS. As for today business, the crucial (decision) point at the moment is M-(95.65)... We are testing it right now....checking the way towards S1=95.13 (see post above)
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