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Fitch Downgrades ArcelorMittal SA to 'BB+' with Outlook Negative Fitch Ratings has downgraded ArcelorMittal SA's (AM) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating IDR and senior unsecured ratings to 'BB+' from 'BBB-'. The Outlook on the Long-Term IDR remains Negative. The Short-Term IDR has been downgraded to 'B' from 'F3'. It said “We believe that AM is well-placed to cope with the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, with very strong liquidity of USD10.4 billion of cash and committed credit lines against a short-term debt of USD2.6 billion. AM has a proven history of taking decisive action to manage crises, and a business that inherently features a countercyclical working capital cycle, which we believe will allow it to be free cash flow (positive in even the most challenged quarters of this year.” However, with the company well outside its negative rating sensitivity in 2019, and our base case assumption that economic fallout from the coronavirus will extend through most of 2021, translating into material pressure on steel consuming industries, including automotive and construction, we now forecast the company will be outside previous negative rating sensitivities for a 'BBB-' rating until 2022, despite what we have no doubt will be a robust response from the company. This is reflected in the rating downgrade. Source : Strategic Research Institute
ArcelorMittal Plans Lay Offs at Indiana Harbor Steel Mill ArcelorMittal has notified the United Steelworkers union that it plans to lay off steelworkers at the ArcelorMittal Indiana Harbor steel mill in East Chicago. United Steelworkers Local 1010 President Steve Wagner said in a letter to union members "The company has mandated that all employees with less than two years be laid off. This is not in line with the Collective Bargaining Agreement. Our interpretation is that the company must offer voluntary layoffs before anybody is involuntarily laid off. The union has demanded a layoff minimization plan that is in line with the CBA. If the company imposes their own layoff plan unilaterally, we will fight to get employees back to work as soon as possible. Also, as in the past, we will be fighting to get all probationary employees call-back rights when business conditions improve. All nonprobationary employees that get laid off already have call-back rights." He said "The company is not following our Plan of Insurance & Benefits and recognizing employees quarantining at home as immediately disabling in regards to the 7-day waiting period. Under normal circumstances, the employees would be hospitalized and paid from day one. The company’s actions are encouraging sick employees to come to work and infect others. If the previous information isn’t upsetting enough, for laid off employees, the company also wants to take your weekly $600 Federal Stimulus unemployment insurance at a time when you and your family need money the most. We are disclosing this information to the membership after giving the company ample time to do the right thing. The process is ongoing and we will continue to communicate as information materializes." Wagner urged the remaining workers at the steel mill to improve social distancing by keeping at least 6 feet apart and keeping groups to a minimum. ArcelorMittal, which employs about 10,000 workers in Northwest Indiana, is idling the Indiana Harbor #3 blast furnace and the Indiana Harbor #4 blast furnace in East Chicago as well as the Cleveland #6 blast furnace, leaving it with just four blast furnaces running in the United States during the coronavirus pandemic. Source : Strategic Research Institute
7 Japanese Steel Professionals Airlifted from Jamshedpur Hindustan Times reported that 7 Japanese nationals working in private company in Jharkhand’s Jamshedpur were sent back to their home country by a special chartered flight on Tuesday after request from Japan during the Covid-19 outbreak. East Singhbhum district deputy commissioner Ravishankar Shukla told HT “We sent seven Japanese citizens for Delhi on board a chartered flight at Sonari Aerodrome here today. They were working here with some Tata Group Companies and staying here for past 8-9 months. This was done as per the recommendation of Ministry of External Affairs and approval of Civil Aviation Ministry. From Delhi, another chartered Japanese flight will take them home.” As per available information, four of the seven Japanese citizens evacuated from Jamshedpur worked in a Tata Steel-Nippon Steel joint venture company, two in Tata Refractories and the other Japanese citizen was supervising the overall operation of Nippon Steel in Jamshedpur. Source : Hindustan Times
COVID-19 to Reduce China’s Iron Ore Output by 3% in 2020 - GlobalData Analytics Company GlobalData said that China’s iron ore production is forecast to decline by 3% to 78.2 Mt in 2020 due to the impact of coronavirus (Covid-19). Between January and February 2020, the operating rates at private iron ore mines declined from 34.9% to 29.6% and overall, China’s iron ore production declined by 4.6% year-on-year. Several mines and plants had to temporarily cease the production activities. The deliveries and shipments were either delayed or rescheduled, and there was a shortage of workers, who could not return to mine sites owing to the prolonged Lunar new year holidays, followed by the transportation issues due to lockdown. Vinneth Bajaj, Senior Mining Analyst at GlobalData, says: “As a result of the slowdown in the domestic production, iron ore imports grew by 1.5% year-on-year in January and February 2020 to reach 176.8 million tonnes. However, purchases accumulated at ports due to transportation challenges, owing to the lockdown and inventory at ports had reached a three-month high of 131.1 million tonnes by 7 February 2020.” GlobalData forecasts the iron ore production in China to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 1.1% between 2020 and 2024 to reach 81.6 million tonnes. Bajaj concludes: “The growth will be relatively flat due to the elimination of inefficient steel capacity, as part of the three-year ‘Blue Sky’ environmental initiative, which runs from 2018 to 2020. This initiative is driving domestic steelmakers to utilize high-grade iron ore (Fe 58-62%), which principally originates from Australia and Brazil.” Source : Strategic Research Institute
ICRA Sees Indian Steel Exports & Imports Remaining Weak The rapid spread of coronavirus and its crippling effect on economies across the globe is set to keep Indian steel exports subdued in the near term. A report by rating agency ICRA Ltd forecasts that steel exports from the country are likely to be muted in the near term due to curbs on trade flow and depressed demand in buyer nations especially Italy and Belgium which accounted for 14 per cent of India’s outbound steel shipments during April-February period of FY20. Report from ICRA noted “iven the risk of delayed deliveries due to bottlenecks in production, logistics, and port handling capacities, as well as the risk of transmission from import consignments, resulting in stringent scrutiny from port customs authorities, India’s steel imports are likely to remain low in the coming months.” ICRA report observed “The same, along with the continuing macroeconomic headwinds, could affect domestic steel consumption and pressurise steel prices in the coming months. Consequently, we estimate the domestic steel consumption growth to remain low at 2-3 per cent in FY21, as against our November 2019 forecast of 6.5 per cent.” Source : Strategic Research Institute
Nucor idles Louisiana DRI Plant Nucor has temporarily idle its Louisiana direct-reduced iron facility due to impacts resulting from the coronavirus pandemic. Nucor spokeswoman said "With the state of Louisiana having been particularly hard hit by the Covid-19 outbreak and economic uncertainty nationwide, we have temporarily suspended operations at our Nucor Louisiana direct reduced iron plant. Our steel mills that use DRI as feedstock continue to operate and are utilizing existing DRI inventory. We do not expect this outage to impact our steelmaking operations and we have not laid off any teammates. With the exception of a small maintenance crew on site, we have sent all teammates home as a precautionary measure to ensure their health and wellness." Nucor operates a 2 million ton DRI facility in Trinidad as well, which was also temporarily idled last week in compliance with government orders issued to combat the coronavirus pandemic. Source : Strategic Research Institute
Cleveland Cliffs Idles Iron Ore Mining and Pellet Production Cleveland-Cliffs Inc announced that based on current market conditions, the Company will be temporarily idling production at two of its iron ore mining operations, Northshore Mining in Minnesota and Tilden Mine in Michigan. Cleveland-Cliffs stated that it will work down current inventory levels from these two operations and will continue to ship iron ore to fulfill its commercial agreements with steel customers. Cleveland-Cliffs Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer Lourenco Goncalves said “We have evaluated market conditions and the extraordinary disruptions in manufacturing and steel production in North America due to the impact of the COVID-19 market shock. As our steel customers rationalize their operations’ capacities, we made the decision to adjust our iron ore production during the first half of the year and not continue to build additional iron ore inventory until market conditions improve. Once the North American steel market improves, Cleveland-Cliffs will be able to quickly restart and ramp up production.” The Company stated that unless business circumstances change, it plans to temporarily idle production at Northshore mine by mid-April with a planned restart by August 2020, and Tilden mine will be temporarily idled by the end of April with a planned restart in July 2020. Source : Strategic Research Institute
Tata Steel Board Approves Fund Raising The Board of Tata Steel at its meeting held on 13 April 2020 has approved the issue of Unsecured, Redeemable, Rated, Listed, Non-Convertible Debentures of Rs 10 lakh each aggregating upto Rs 7,000 crore to be issued in one or more issues on private placement basis. Voor meer, zie pdf. Source : Strategic Research Institute
New Suspected Case of Coronavirus at ArcelorMittal Taranto Plant Italian media reported that ArcelorMittal's steel plant in the southern Italian city of Taranto has confirmed a third suspected case of coronavirus. The employee worked his regular shift on Saturday and then returned home. He is currently awaiting test results. All workers that were in contact with their colleague must self-quarantine at home A positive result would mean a total of three coronavirus cases at the ArcelorMittal plant of Taranto. Source : Strategic Research Institute
NioCorp Inks Letter of Intent for Ferroniobium with Steel Maker in US NioCorp Developments Ltd announced that it has signed a non-binding letter of intent with US based steel producer outlining the steel producer's interest in purchasing up to 25% of NioCorp's production of ferroniobium over the first 10 years of production from the Company's Elk Creek Superalloy Materials Project in southeast Nebraska. The non-binding letter of intent does not obligate either NioCorp or the steel producer until a binding commercial sales offtake agreement is finalized. However, if such a binding sales offtake agreement is reached, it would effectively sell out NioCorp's Elk Creek Project for its ferroniobium production over the first decade of its estimated 36-year mine life. NioCorp previously entered into an offtake agreement with ThyssenKrupp Metallurgical Products GmbH for roughly fifty percent of NioCorp's planned ferroniobium production over 10 years, and a separate offtake agreement with New Jersey-based CMC Cometals for roughly 25 percent of the Project's ferroniobium production over 10 years. Both the Thyssen and CMC Cometals contracts provide an option to extend ferroniobium purchases beyond the 10-year periods in each contract upon mutual agreement of the parties. The offtake agreements with Thyssen and CMC Cometals, as well as any offtake agreement with the US based steel producer referenced above, will be subject to achieving planned production levels at the Project once NioCorp is able to secure project financing necessary to move the Project to construction and operation. The entry into a binding agreement is subject to the satisfactory completion of due diligence, the negotiation and settlement of final terms, and the negotiation of definitive documentation. There can be no assurance that an offtake will be completed on the terms as described above or at all. Source : Strategic Research Institute
GMS Market Commentary on Shipbreaking in Week 15 - No End in Sight With all subcontinent locations still under a strict lockdown and virtually all global ports similarly observing quarantine measures, the deal flow for both trading and recycling markets have expectedly ground to a halt. With so many countries now refusing entry & exit of international crew and indeed denying vessels anchoring permissions at the various as is ports, it is virtually impossible to take over any ‘as is’ vessels any more. Moreover, there is no way to get vessels delivered into the various recycling destinations, with recycling nations imposing similar restrictions on incoming units with international crew. Consequently, there is a growing backlog of units into India & Bangladesh (as evident from the respective port positions) and anxious Ship Owners and Cash Buyers wait for news on a market reopening as they desperately try to salvage failing deals due to force majeure conditions or cancelling dates coming sharply into view as arrivals and inward clearances are severely restricted. With thousands of lives being lost every day in the grim battle against Covid-19, it would be churlish to suggest that shipping and deals are at the forefront of people’s minds at present. Saving lives and sacrificing for the greater good have become the priority in recent times and nowhere has that come under the microscope more acutely than in India, where Prime Minister Modi has enforced the largest ever lockdown, with 1.34 billion people ordered to stay at home, in an effort to curb the rampant spread of this virus. The news we are getting from all subcontinent locations is that the existing government ordered lockdowns in Pakistan, India and Bangladesh are set to be extended - at least until the end of this month, rendering any deliveries there impossible for the foreseeable future. Finally, even though the Turkish market recorded a mild improvement this week, like the subcontinent markets, we don’t expect any noteworthy activity from this market. Source : Strategic Research Institute
Steel Production Capability Utilization Rate Dips to 56% AISI announced that in the week ending on April 11, 2020, domestic raw steel production in US was 1,256,000 net tons while the capability utilization rate was 56.1 percent. Production was 1,892,000 net tons in the week ending April 11, 2019 while the capability utilization then was 81.3 percent. The current week production represents a 33.6 percent decrease from the same period in the previous year. Production for the week ending April 11, 2020 is down 18.1 percent from the previous week ending April 4, 2020 when production was 1,534,000 net tons and the rate of capability utilization was 68.5 percent. Adjusted year-to-date production through April 11, 2020 was 26,323,000 net tons, at a capability utilization rate of 77.9 percent. That is down 4.9 percent from the 27,665,000 net tons during the same period last year, when the capability utilization rate was 81.5 percent. Broken down by districts, here's production for the week ending April 11, 2020 in thousands of net tons: North East: 104; Great Lakes: 430; Midwest: 122; Southern: 556 and Western: 44 for a total of 1256. Source : Strategic Research Institute
Egypt Maintains Safeguard Rate on Imports of Billet and Rebars Egyptian government has decided to postpone the reduction on the safeguard tax rate for billet and rebar. Egypt's Ministry of Trade and Industry has announced that it has postponed the downward revision of import safeguard duty rates for steel billet and rebar, previously scheduled for April 11, by six months from now. According to the decision taken back in October 2019, the safeguard duty for import billet was due to be revised from 16 percent (or a minimum of USD 74) to 13 percent (or a minimum of USD 60) for a period of one year. The import duty for rebar and wire rod was expected to be reduced from 25 percent (or a minimum of USD 125) to 21 percent (or a minimum of USD 105). However, until around mid-October this year billet and longs imports will be subject to 16 and 25 percent safeguard rates. Source : Strategic Research Institute
Chinese Steel Exports in March Surge General Administration of Customs data showed that China’s finished steel exports increased by 2.35% year on year to 6.476 million tonnes in March 2020, the highest since July 2018 as Chinese steel mills stepped up efforts to export more in March as well as in April in a bid to ease supply pressure on the domestic market. Exports rebounded in March after falling 27% year on year over January-February. Exports in Q1 were still 16% lower year on year at 14.286 million tonnes. China’s finished steel exports are expected to drop sharply over May-June despite a rebound in March due to a recovery in domestic demand but weak export demand because of the coronavirus pandemic. Moreover Chinese steel exporters have lost its competitive edge to other countries such as Russia, Japan and South Korea, which have lowered their export prices. As a result, some traders said China’s monthly steel exports are likely to shrink in Q2 of 2020 On the other hand, steel imports into China rose 26.5% on the year to 1.137 million tonnes in March. In Q1, imports grew 9.7% to 3.178 million tonnes. Steel imports are likely to continue rising through the second quarter. Source : Strategic Research Institute
Italy Extends Lockdowns Italian Prime Minister Mr Giuseppe Conte recently announced that the lockdown in Italy would be extended until May 3 from the original end date of April 13, as the country is still struggling to fully contain the spread of the Covid-19 virus. Mr Conte ordered people to stay home and seek permission for essential travel. He said in a TV address “Measures are designed to protect the most vulnerable. There is no more time. Best thing is for people to stay at home. We are having an important growth in infection and of deaths. The whole of Italy will become a protected zone. We all must give something up for the good of Italy. We have to do it now. This is why I decided to adopt even more strong and severe measures to contain the advance and protect the health of all citizens." The government said only those with a valid work or family reason that cannot be postponed will be allowed to travel. Passengers departing on flights will have to justify themselves, as will all those who arrive by plane. The prime minister agreed to allow a tiny fraction of businesses that were shuttered since March 12 to re-open on a trial basis but Italian steel industry has been left out once again. Several sources described the situation as very confused, as while most Italian steel companies are still closed and a few are only partially active, lots of companies are trying to figure out how to resume production in the coming days. Source : Strategic Research Institute
Borusan Mannesmann Restarts Gemlik and Halkali Pipe Mills in Turkey Turkish steel pipe producer Borusan Mannesmann Boru has announced that as of April 13 it has restarted the production activities of its spirally welded pipe mill in Gemlik and its pipe mill in Halkali in Istanbul, which had been suspended within the scope of measures taken to prevent the spread of the coronavirus, with a minimum number of employees kept on at work. The company had also announced the suspension of production activities at its BM Vobarno mill located in Italy on March 13 as a precaution. The suspension period has been extended until May 3 after the recent decision by the Italian government affecting production activities in the country. Source : Strategic Research Institute
Liberty to Rope in Mr Roland Junck as Europe Chief Sky News reported that Mr Roland Junck will run Liberty Steel's European operations. Sky News has learnt that former ArcelorMittal executive Mr Junck, who chaired British Steel until shortly before its recent takeover by China's Jingye Group, will be named this week as the head of Liberty's European operations. The developments come as the UK steel industry, like many others, faces searching questions about its future amid the coronavirus pandemic. The steelmaking arm employs 30,000 employees on four continents. In the UK, it includes steelworks in Rotherham, Stocksbridge, Hartlepool, Newport, Clydesbridge and Dalzell. Last week, it said it would idle liquid steel production at its Rotherham steelworks for a period of three weeks, and place the employees involved in it on furlough, with their wages subsidised by the taxpayer. Source : Sky News
Benteler Suspends Production amid Corona Pandemic The coronavirus has affected the BENTELER Group. It said “Our primary goal is to protect the health of our employees. As an international group represented in China, we have been working for weeks on measures to stem the spread of the coronavirus. We are using this knowledge for all our sites worldwide and have implemented a comprehensive and globally coordinated package of measures at an early stage. Numerous automobile manufacturers have announced that they will temporarily stop production due to the corona pandemic. As a supplier, the BENTELER Group is joining this decision and temporarily suspending operations at those locations where it works with the respective customers. This affects almost all plants of the Automotive Division in Europe, North and South America and South Africa. The Steel & Tube Division has also temporarily stopped or reduced production at some locations due to the corona pandemic.” It said “The temporary stop of production is a major challenge for the employees affected and for us as a company. In close cooperation with the works councils, authorities and our customers, we have found solutions. These are, for example, mobile working, and reduction of overtime, unpaid leave or temporary part-time work. The form depends on the legislation and the specific situation in each country. We are doing everything in our power to minimize the negative impact on our employees, their families and the company. At the same time, as an employer we have a responsibility to secure jobs. Our goal is to continue to secure production for our customers wherever possible without endangering the health of our employees. We all bear responsibility - for ourselves and our fellow citizens.” Source : Strategic Research Institute
Moody's Reviews JSW Steel for Downgrade Moody's Investors Service has today placed under review for downgrade JSW Steel Limited's Ba2 corporate family rating CFR and the Ba2 senior unsecured rating. The ratings outlook has been revised to ratings under review from stable. It said “The rapid and widening spread of the coronavirus outbreak, deteriorating global economic outlook, falling oil prices, and asset price declines are creating a severe and extensive credit shock across many sectors, regions and markets. The combined credit effects of these developments are unprecedented. The steel sector has been one of the sectors most significantly affected by the shock given its sensitivity to consumer demand and sentiment. More specifically, the weaknesses in JSW's credit profile, including its exposure to steel demand for manufacturing and volatile material costs, have left it vulnerable to shifts in market sentiment in these unprecedented operating conditions, and it remains vulnerable to the outbreak continuing to spread. Moody's regards the coronavirus outbreak as a social risk under its ESG framework, given the substantial implications for public health and safety. Today's action reflects the impact on JSW of the breadth and severity of the shock, and the broad deterioration in credit quality it has triggered.” Moody's review for downgrade will focus on (1) The outbreak's impact on JSW's operations in light of increasing restrictions on people's movement and the potential for a further shutdown of operations to ensure employee safety (2) The impact of the outbreak on demand, steel prices and product spreads (3) An analysis of JSW's asset base, cost structure, likely cash burn rate and liquidity, as well as management's strategy for coping with prolonged, low and volatile commodity prices (4) The impact of potential countermeasures such as capex deferment as well as any government measures to support the steelmaker's operations and consumers in its main markets (5) Its resilience in various stress testing scenarios, especially with respect to liquidity. Moody's Vice President and Senior Credit Officer Kaustubh Chaubal said "The review for downgrade reflects our expectation that weak steel demand will strain JSW's credit profile, at least through the fiscal year ending March 2021. In fact, there is a distinct possibility JSW will remain in breach of our downgrade triggers for its Ba2 CFR. The review reflects our concern that JSW will face significant challenges due to the coronavirus-led economic downturn, with declining sales, weak earnings and free cash flow generation because of tepid demand from automakers, manufacturing and other steel consuming industries.” In March, JSW announced that following the nationwide lockdown initiated by the Indian government and the various advisories from local and state governments, production at most of its plants has either scaled down or been suspended. Source : Strategic Research Institute
Ind-Ra Revises Tata Steel Outlook to Negative India Ratings has revised Tata Steel's outlook for non-convertible debentures to negative with the risk of a substantial deterioration in the company's credit profile caused by the COVID-19 containment measures. The rating agency, however, considered Tata Steel to be well-equipped to cope with the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, with free cash of close to INR 75 billion and committed credit lines against a short-term debt of INR 80 billion at end-March, 2020. Ind-Ra said in a note "A prolonged lockdown of the businesses will lead to considerable curtailment of demand for an extended period, thereby impacting the company’s credit metrics beyond FY21. The outlook revision reflects the risk of a substantial deterioration in the company's credit profile caused by the COVID-19 containment measures, and the overall impact of the lockdown on key end-user segments, including construction, infrastructure and automobiles.” The agency expected the steel maker's near-term profitability to be impacted by both fall in metal prices and reduction in capacity utilisations. Ind-Ra said "Along with inventory losses due to the falling metal prices, higher competitive intensity to exhaust the inventory build-up could exert pressure on gross margins.” Source : Strategic Research Institute
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