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Sprott Is Bullish on Silver—and Gold—Equitieswww.theaureport.com/pub/na/15299
Het gaat niet echt lekker met de mijnen op het moment. Het technische beeld verslechterd ook. Zolang de stimulering er nog is, zal er wel geen verbetering komen ben ik bang. In 2010 waren de mijn aandelen het dubbelwaard met dezelfde zilver prijs van nu.
Heb je dit gehoord ? SilverCrest Mines Receives Outperform Rating on National TV by StoneCap Securities Analyst Christos Douliswatch.bnn.ca/#clip946399 Als je naar de zilverprijs kijkt hebben we de bodem aardig gezet.Technisch 20,87 bodem. Het kan nog wel wat lager, echter aan de andere kant gaan de fundamentals werken. Sommige mijnen kunnen niet winstgevend produceren en er zullen projecten uitgesteld worden. De vraag neemt alleen maar toe en de bovengrondse voorraden die er waren van zilver als bijprodukt zijn inmiddels verdwenen. Vraag Fysiek zilver neemt sterk toe. Als je SilverCrest neemt dan is de P/E reeds extreem laag. Ze liggen op schema voor de opening van de mijn in begin 2014. Produktie zal verdubbelen en zelfs met huidige zilverprijs $22 verdienen ze erg goed met een kostprijs van slechts $8. Op korte termijn moeten er de nodige rapporten uitkomen over de voorraden en Eco study die alleen maar goeds beloven. Het zou mij niet verbazen als ze tevens binnenkort een nieuwe aankoop doen om de enorme hoeveelheid cashflow die ze vanaf 2016/7 krijgen weer versneld in nieuwe productie om kunnen zetten. Tevens blijft SilverCrest een mooie overname kandidaat ! Het kan nog wel even op en neer de komende maanden, echter is het aandeel rond de $1,80 een koopje en dan gewoon de rit uitzitten. Enjoy
Over een half uurtje breekt de hell ook weer los, ben benieuwd wat Ben te zeggen heeft. Zilver/goud mag ook wel eens een +5% dagje.
Nou, hoop dat Bernanke iets zegt waardoor de goud/zilver prijs als een raket omhoog schiet, maar ben bang dat...... vinger aan de knop in iedergeval.
Fed Keeps Buying Bonds at $85B Monthly Pace Reuters The Federal Reserve on Wednesday said it would keep buying $85 billion in bonds per month and gave no explicit indication that it was close to scaling back the program, despite intense market speculation it could soon start drawing it to a close.
Beetje gepingel met zilver en goud. Schiet heen en weer..
Maar goed de stimulering gaat nog gewoon verder, dus er gaat niks veranderen.
Op het bericht ben ik uitgestapt en hoop het op een lager niveau weer op te pakken.
Heb een uur geledne ook afstand gedaan van silvercrest met een verlies van -5%. Premium gold mines met een winstje van 4%. Sabina hou ik gewoon in de porto. Heb er toch geen groot bedrag op staan dus dat maakt niks uit. Sabina staat -24%, maar goed dat is 1 van de meest risicovolle mijnen.
Belegger92, als je nu pas was uigestapt bij Silvercrest had je nu op -16% gestaan. Sinds mijn verkoop gisteren is EXK al bijna 40 dollarcent gezakt. Dus tot nu toe goede beslissingen.... Nu een heel mooi instap moment afwachten, dan komt het wel weer goed met ons.
Zeer goedkoop nu. Maarja als zilver eenmaal daalt dan....... Na een paar uur ontstaat er toch weer paniek en staat zilver weer -5%.
Endeaver : Koesr High 10.46 Low 3.48 Koers nu : 3.48 Equity 2011 : 254,251 naar 2012 :474,483 High Target Price Estimate : 9.25 Low Target Price Estimate : 6.00 Mean Target Price Estimate : 8.04 SilverCrest Mines : Koesr High 2.96 Low 1.56 Koers nu : 1.60 Equity 2011 : 78,078 naar 2012 : 121,293 High Target Price Estimate : 5.0 Low Target Price Estimate : 3.00 Mean Target Price Estimate : 3.68 Winst per aandeel 2012 $0.33 Een Koers/Winst vehouding van nog geen 5.0 !!!! Outlook : Verdubbeling productie in 2014 Zilver op een low ... How low can we go ? Geduld :) Ik wacht op de update die snel moet uitkomen..
Laat ze eerst maar even uitrazen. Het sentiment is weer zeer negatief en de verkoopdruk is weer hoog. Fysiek ga ik wel bijkopen (daalt amper in waarde) maar met mijnen wacht ik nog wel even.
Banken gaan sinds jaren short op edelmetalen over naar LONG posities op edelmetalen. Zwitsers fonds spreekt van "Zilver het nieuwe Goud"
DEEL 1 : Reasons To Own Silver 1. With gold rapidly re-establishing itself in its true historic role as money, silver is once again coming to the fore as "poor man's gold" As investment demand for gold inexorably rises due to the relentless debasement of all fiat paper currency, its price will rise to levels that will make it the private preserve of central bankers, sovereign wealth funds, large institutions and wealthy individuals. As a result of this phenomenon, the general public will increasingly switch its focus to silver as a refuge from paper money excesses and the impact on the silver price will be dramatic. 2. Unlike gold, silver has many industrial and medical applications which absorb a significant proportion of both new mine supply and recovered scrap Investors seeking to position themselves in physical silver will be in direct competition with the traditional consumers and this development alone will have a salutary impact on silver prices. 3. Silver is a remarkably small market to begin with and a heavy inflow of new capital into the sector will consequently have an outsized impact on price Silver's overall market size is miniscule with annual total supply from all sources estimated to be little more than one billion ounces. When compared to the gold market, which is small in its own right, annual availability of silver from all sources has a dollar value of roughly 15% of that of gold. In addition, some 70% of silver supply goes to its traditional demand sources (industrial, medical, jewelry) while the vast proportion of gold is available for investment demand. 4. The inventories of above-ground silver have shrunk alarmingly over the past fifty years Above-ground silver inventories were estimated to be as high as ten billion ounces at the end of the 1950's with the vast proportion being held in the U.S and China. In the succeeding fifty years, nearly 90% of this stockpile has disappeared, attesting to silver's chronic supply-demand imbalance. To put it in context, the roughly one billion ounces in inventory today is worth some U.S $35 billion, a figure which represents little more than one week of U.S federal debt issuance, a significant proportion of which is being monetized by the Federal Reserve. 5. Silver's industrial and medical applications are growing rapidly Complicating investor's desires to own more silver is the rapid growth in silver's non-investment sources of demand. Silver may be the most versatile of all metals and among its many attributes are: a. It is one of the best conductors of electricity. b. It is the second best reflector of light behind rhodium, but at a fraction of the cost. c. It is a biocide and has proven very effective in killing germs. Thus, not surprisingly, its demand is exploding in such diverse fields as modern electronics, solar panels and numerous medical applications. In many of its varied uses, it is difficult to find a cost-effective substitute and because its usage in many instances constitutes a small proportion of the total cost of the product, its demand is relatively price inelastic. It is interesting to note that photographic demand used to constitute nearly 33% of non-investment demand but that has virtually disappeared due to the wide adoption of digital photography and has been easily replaced by the new applications. In addition, there was a high recycling aspect to the photographic use which is largely absent in today's dynamic new uses. 6. Increased mine supply will not be a solution to accommodate rising demand A very significant proportion of mine supply is a by-product of base metal production as there are remarkably few pure silver mines in the world. Given the world's precarious economic and financial situation, there is a high probability of economic dislocation which would severely cripple base metal demand and may lead to mine closures. That would have a significant impact on silver supply. In addition, Peru and Mexico are the world's leading silver producers, accounting for over one-third of world production and geopolitical conditions are deteriorating alarmingly in both countries, most particularly Peru. 7. There has been a significant change in the large and important Chinese market For many years, China was known to have large above-ground inventories in conjunction with considerable mine production (by a large margin, it is the world's third largest producer behind Mexico and Peru). Accordingly, it was a substantial exporter of silver and was instrumental in contributing to the uneconomically low silver prices in past years. However, recently, their exports have slowed to a trickle and Chinese investment demand for silver has accelerated to such an extent that China has actually imported silver. Given the country's vast population, its growing wealth and its well-advertised dissatisfaction with the status of the U.S. dollar of which it is the major holder, Chinese interest in silver can't be underestimated. ZIE OOK DEEL 2
DEEL 2 : Reasons to Own Silver 8. India, the world's second most populous country, has also sharply increased its silver imports in recent years The increase in Indian imports is not terribly surprising, given the country's predilection for precious metals and its growing wealth. However, unlike China which is a significant producer, India has to import most of its requirements and the impact of this on the small silver market is considerable. 9. The silver price has been subjected to considerable manipulation through the years on Comex and other paper-based exchanges The silver price has been subjected to a well-documented price suppression scheme for at least fifteen years. By virtue of massive paper shorting by a group of powerful bullion banks, the tiny silver market has been abused and the price rise to date, although substantial, has not come close to reflecting the virtual disappearance of above-ground inventory, the dramatic tightening in the supply-demand equation and the increasing difficulty in acquiring physical silver. One major bullion bank J.P. Morgan Chase has been identified as a major miscreant in a number of recently filed class action lawsuits. The current outstanding paper short position on the Comex alone vastly exceeds the physical silver available on that exchange. In addition, silver's total short position in relation to the amount of annual production is so far out of line with that of other commodities, including gold, that it can only be termed ridiculous. 10. There has been a proliferation of paper silver products that soak up investor demand but do not have the physical silver backing that is alleged There have been a number of paper silver products issued in recent years, many of which are sponsored by the very same bullion banks accused of malfeasance in the paper silver market. A close examination of the prospectuses indicates that there is considerable leeway with respect to the actual silver backing and that the price can thus be replicated by derivatives and other paper machinations. As the public becomes more aware of this and their financial vulnerability in such vehicles, they will redirect their money away from such products into physical silver or items such as Sprott Physical Silver Trust, which is backed by documented, fully-allocated silver. Given the extreme tightness of the physical silver market, this will have a considerable impact on price. 11. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has been conducting an investigation into alleged silver price irregularities for the past four years Despite copious evidence of extensive silver price manipulation provided by numerous credible sources, the CFTC has failed to conclude its inquiry, essentially confirming that there has been considerable chicanery in the market. This obvious conclusion was backed by a remarkable statement by one of the CFTC commissioners Bart Chilton over two year ago. Chilton succinctly stated "Silver markets have been subjected to repeated attempts to influence prices. There has been fraudulent efforts to persuade and obviously control that price. Any such violation of the law in this regard should be prosecuted." This statement is not surprising given the explosive information introduced at a March 2010 CFTC hearing by Andrew Maguire, a veteran silver trader. Maquire provided chapter and verse on the whole sordid scheme, including a precise prediction that unfolded exactly as advertised. However, whatever the outcome of this inquiry, it is unlikely to be anything other than constructive for future silver prices. 12. The gold-silver ratio has varied widely through the years but has declined in the past to the range of 10 or 15 to 1 in extended precious metals bull markets The ratio of the gold price to the silver price, which is currently in the neighborhood of 50:1 and has been dramatically higher when silver was in its extended bear market in the 80's and 90's, often declines precipitously in extended precious metals bull markets to as low as 10 or 15:1. Given that we are currently in a powerful bull market with many years to run and in view of the aforementioned compelling reasons to own silver, a ratio in that range certainly seems attainable before this bull breathes its last. It is worth noting that the ratio of 15:1 correlates very closely with the ratio of gold to silver thought to exist in the earth's crust. Conclusion With the ongoing debasement of all fiat paper currency essentially assured by the magnitude of the debt problems overwhelming the entire world, the prices of gold and silver can only rise in these currencies in the future. In that event, a decline in the gold-silver price ratio to the low end of the historical range promises future percentage price gains in silver that may exceed those already achieved off the lows of the late 90's. If that comes to pass, silver will qualify as one of the great investments in financial history. Sprott Asset Management provides investors with a number of investment solutions that provide exposure to silver and silver stocks. For more information about these funds and investing in precious metals please visit: Sources: The Silver Institute: www.silverinstitute.org/site/ CPM Group: www.cpmgroup.com/main.php U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission: www.cftc.gov/index.htm Bloomberg: www.bloomberg.com/ Reuters: ca.reuters.com/ GFMS; Gold Silver PGMS Research & Consultancy: www.gfms.co.uk/
Oei. Het aandeel EXK is wel heel erg gezakt sinds mijn verkoop. Heb het vanmiddag terug gekocht en voor hetzelfde geld heb ik nu 375 aandelen meer. Ik gok nu op een kleine rebounce. Ik ga het zien, anders vliegt ie er net zo hard weer uit.
Ik blijf er even af. Er zijn personen die het gewoon heel laag willen hebben en dat gaan ze ook voor elkaar krijgen ook.
Tja, aan de zilverprijs te zien, had ik dat ook moeten doen.......
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