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Zwakste groei economie India in ruim 6 jaar

MUMBAI (AFN/BLOOMBERG) - De groei van de economie van India is in het derde kwartaal afgezwakt naar het traagste tempo in meer dan zes jaar. De economie van India is al langere tijd aan het afzwakken, mede door de wereldwijde economische afkoeling.

De groei van de derde economie van Azië kwam uit op 4,5 procent op jaarbasis, tegen een vooruitgang van 5 procent in het tweede kwartaal van dit jaar. India heeft te kampen met een zwakkere vraag vanuit het buitenland en terughoudendheid bij bedrijven om investeringen te doen, terwijl ook consumenten voorzichtiger zijn geworden.

De Indiase centrale bank heeft de rente dit jaar meerdere keren verlaagd om zo de groei aan te jagen. Daarnaast werden de economische prognoses voor dit jaar meermaals neerwaarts bijgesteld.

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Reacties

13 Posts
| Omlaag ↓
  1. [verwijderd] 30 november 2019 12:58
    Europa haalt niet eens 2% groei door subsidies aan zuid europese landen.

    20 miljard elke maand.
    Waar naar toe...

    Kunnen de professoren, economen nou precies vertellen waar en in welke sector het geld naar toegaat.

    Is dit niet interessant om te weten.
    Als journalist, geen interesse ???

    60 miljard.... waar naar toe
    20 miljard ... waar naar toe ?

    Waarschijnlijk naar bedrijven die
    Wapens produceren, drugs verkopen, milities helpen, VN organizatie,....

    In ieder geval niet naar de burger.

  2. forum rang 4 s.lin 30 maart 2020 11:54
    Vrees voor coronauitbraak India door massale volksverhuizing
    29-3-2020
    Heel India is sinds deze week in lockdown. Hoewel premier Modi alle 1,3 miljard Indiërs heeft opgeroepen te blijven waar ze zijn, heeft het besluit juist een volksverhuizing in gang gezet.

    Naar schatting 120 miljoen arbeidsmigranten willen terug naar hun dorp, nu ze geen werk meer hebben bij fabrieken, bouwplaatsen en huishoudens in de grote steden. En omdat er geen bussen en treinen meer rijden, lopen ze, soms wel honderden kilometers.

    "Wat moeten we dan doen, wat moeten we eten?" vraagt Sunita, die met haar zoontje van twee in de armen net begonnen is met lopen. Haar man draagt een kleine rugtas. Het gezin is vlak bij de gemeentegrens van Delhi en heeft nog ruim 600 kilometer te gaan naar hun dorp in de deelstaat Madya Pradesh. "Ik werkte op een bouwplaats, maar die ligt al de hele week stil. We krijgen sinds vijf dagen niets uitbetaald. In het dorp hebben we een huis, en eten."

    Ondanks de lockdown is er in India een volksverhuizing aan de gang
  3. forum rang 4 s.lin 13 april 2020 15:28
    Zuid-Azië riskeert in een historische recessie te verzeilen

    12-4-2020
    Zuid-Azië riskeert door de impact van de coronabesmetting zijn slechtste economische prestatie in veertig jaar te zullen boeken. Deze problemen wegen ook op de inspanningen die de regio zou kunnen doen om de armoede onder zijn bevolking terug te dringen. Dat blijkt uit een rapport van de Wereldbank.

    Zuid-Azië – een regio die bestaat uit India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Afghanistan en een reeks kleinere landen – telt in totaal 1,8 miljard inwoners. Het gebied omvat ook enkele van de meest dichtbevolkte steden van de wereld.

    Perfecte cocktail
    Voorlopig zijn de landen nog niet met een zware explosie van corona-besmettingen geconfronteerd, maar een aantal deskundigen vreest dat de regio één van de volgende epicentra van de pandemie zal worden.

    ‘De economische gevolgen worden nu al bijzonder sterk gevoeld,’ aldus de Wereldbank. ‘Allerlei beperkende maatregelen om de verspreiding van het virus in te dijken, verlammen de economische activiteit in de regio. Allerhande orders voor westerse markten worden geschrapt. De werkloosheid onder de werkende armen loopt opnieuw op.’

    ‘Zuid-Azië dreigt met een perfecte cocktail van moeilijkheden geconfronteerd te zullen worden. Het toerisme is tot stilstand gekomen. De toeleveringsketens zijn verstoord en de vraag naar textiel is ingestort. Bovendien is ook het vertrouwen van consumenten en investeerders gedaald.’

    Ongelijkheid
    De regio mag volgens de Wereldbank dit jaar nog rekenen op een economische groei tussen 1,8 procent en 2,8 procent. Eerder was nog gerekend op een vooruitgang met 6,3 procent. Bovendien wordt aangenomen dat meer dan de helft van de landen in de regio in een diepe recessie terecht zal komen.

    De Wereldbank waarschuwt verder dat de pandemie de ongelijkheden in de regio nog verder zal verergeren. ‘De armste bevolkingsgroepen hebben slechts een beperkte of zelfs helemaal geen enkele toegang tot gezondheidsstelsels en sociale bijstand,’ aldus de instelling.

    www.msn.com/nl-be/nieuws/wereld/zuid-...
  4. forum rang 4 s.lin 13 april 2020 16:30
    India to Boost Drug Ingredient Output to Pare China Reliance

    13 april 2020
    India plans to ramp up production of pharmaceutical ingredients and become an alternative supplier for global drugmakers hit by factory shutdowns in China due to the coronavirus outbreak.

    The Indian government has aggressively begun implementing a policy to ramp up local output and emerge as an alternate to China, according to people familiar with the plan who asked not to be identified as discussions are not public yet. The so-called “China-plus one” strategy involves identifying essential drug ingredients, providing incentives to domestic manufacturers and reviving ailing state-run drugmakers, they said.

    The deadly coronavirus, which shut down vast swathes of the Chinese economy before becoming a pandemic, snapped global supply chains as factories in Asia’s largest economy fell silent. For India -- world’s single-largest exporter of generic drugs -- this triggered raw material shortages and exposed its dependence on Chinese imports. The south Asian nation relies on bulk ingredients from China to manufacture a fifth of the global supplies of drugs that are off patents.

    India imports almost 70% of its bulk drugs and intermediates - the chemicals that make a finished drug work -- from China. A number of these are sourced from Hubei province, where the pathogen first emerged in late-December. Of the total $3.56 billion imports of such products in 2018-19, China’s share was $2.4 billion, according to information presented in the Indian parliament.

    The current crisis also gives an opportunity to India to challenge China’s stronghold on supplying basic drug ingredients.

    Coronavirus Outbreak Exposes Faults in Antibiotics Pipeline

    After announcing a 140-billion-rupee ($1.8 billion) fund last month for setting up three drug manufacturing hubs, the government has identified 53 key starting materials and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) whose output will be boosted on priority, the people said. These include fever-medicine paracetamol and antibiotics such as penicillin and ciprofloxacin.

    Discussions are also underway on the viability of reviving on loss-making state-owned drugmakers Hindustan Antibiotics Ltd. and Indian Drugs and Pharmaceuticals Ltd. to speed up this process and ensure affordable medicines, the people familiar said.

    “Indian bulk drug manufacturers could grow income by $3.3 billion if they expand capacity and global supply as the virus outbreak disrupts China’s pharma sector,” Mia He and Jamie Maarten, analysts with Bloomberg Intelligence wrote in a March 16 note.

    Essential Medicines
    Of the 373 drugs listed under India’s national essential medicines list, some 200 are imported as APIs, mostly from China, Dinesh Dua, chairman of Pharmexcil, an export promotion council under the trade ministry, told Blomberg over phone.

    Sudhir Vaid, chairman and managing director, Concord Biotech Ltd, said the government should support local companies by giving low cost power, subsidies and faster approvals. It takes as long as three years to get approvals, Vaid said.

    “If the government goes full throttle with the monetary help in one cluster, it can become a success in two years,” Pharmexil’s Dua said. “In five years, we can replicate that model throughout the country.”

    www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-...
  5. forum rang 4 s.lin 14 april 2020 15:08
    India plans to fill strategic oil storage by the third week of May
    14-4-2020
    NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India plans to completely fill its strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) by the third week of May by moving about 19 million barrels into the sites by then, the managing director of the country’s SPR said on Tuesday.

    India is moving the oil to the SPR to help the country’s refineries reduce their excess crude as the lockdown to contain the outbreak of COVID-19, the respiratory disease caused by the new coronavirus, has dented transportation and industrial fuel consumption in Asia’s third-largest economy.

    India’s fuel demand in March declined by 17.8%, the lowest in over two decades.

    India will be diverting cargoes for loading in April already bought by refiners Indian Oil Corp (IOC.NS), Bharat Petroleum (BPCL.NS), Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL.NS) and Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd (MRPL.NS). The refiners cut their crude processing after local fuel demand collapsed and are unable to store the excess oil themselves.

    “As of now the plan is to fill the caverns by (the third week of May), before the arrival monsoon rains. We are buying oil from state refiners,” H.P.S. Ahuja, the managing director of the Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Ltd (ISPRL) said. ISPRL is responsible for building and filling of SPR sites.

    ISPRL wants to receive the cargoes before India’s monsoon begins in May as the single point mooring system that can unload very large crude carriers (VLCC) at the port of Mangalore, which will feed two SPR sites, is shut during the three-month rainy season.

    Reuters last month reported India planned to buy oil from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia to fill its SPR to gain from low prices.

    “We are taking advantage of low oil prices,” he said, adding most of these cargoes are linked to official selling prices (OSP) for April.

    Saudi Arabia drastically cut its OSPs for April to boost its oil sales after major producers failed to agree to extend a supply curtailment agreement that expired at the end of March.

    Ahuja said ISPRL hopes to receive the last oil cargo on May 21, while IOC supplied a VLCC containing oil from the UAE on Monday.

    in.reuters.com/article/us-india-oil-s...
  6. forum rang 4 s.lin 15 april 2020 15:56
    India, Pakistan seek to lift some curbs to help millions hit by coronavirus lockdowns
    Sanjeev Miglani, Asif Shahzad
    4 MIN READ

    NEW DELHI/ISLAMABAD (Reuters) - India will allow industries located in the countryside to reopen next week, as well as resuming farm activities to reduce the pain for millions of people hit by a lengthy shutdown in its coronavirus battle, the government said on Wednesday.

    Prime Minister Narendra Modi ordered the population of 1.3 billion to keep indoors for 19 days more after a strict three-week lockdown, saying it was critical to save lives amid the pandemic.

    But he said he felt the pain of the poor and on Wednesday the home (interior) ministry released guidelines allowing limited resumption of commerce and industry in the hinterland, less affected by the pandemic.

    “To mitigate hardship to the public, select additional activities have been allowed, which will come into effect from April 20,” it said.

    Millions of people have been thrown out of work across south Asia since the lockdowns began last month, and growing anger in some areas was reflected in the commercial capital of Mumbai on Tuesday when hundreds mobbed a train station demanding transport home.

    Neighbouring Pakistan, which also announced a two-week extension to its shutdown to halt the virus, said it would reopen construction activity that provides a lifeline for the largest number of its people after agriculture.

    Export industries, such as garments, will also be permitted to begin production, said Industries Minister Hammad Azhar, adding that the government had made an assessment of the sectors least vulnerable to infection.

    “The low-risk industries, meaning where there is less danger of the epidemic’s spread as compared to others, they were identified,” he said.

    India has 11,439 infections, government data showed on Wednesday, a jump of 1,076 from the previous day. These include 377 dead. Pakistan’s caseload is 5,988, including 107 deaths.

    Health experts fear the small numbers relative to some Western nations are a result of low levels of testing in the region and that actual infections could be far higher.

    Widespread contagion could be disastrous for the millions living in dense slums in South Asia, where health services are overstretched.

    India, the region’s biggest economy, has one doctor for every 1,500 citizens, short of the ratio of one for every 1,000 recommended by the World Health Organization. In some rural areas, the ratio is one doctor to 10,000 people.

    “We had no choice but to extend the lockdown, but we are trying to protect livelihoods,” said Arvind Kejriwal, the chief minister of Delhi, which, along with Mumbai, accounts for more than a third of cases.

    In Dhaka, the capital of Bangladesh, hundreds of workers defied a government lockdown to take to the streets demanding wages.

    “We have not received wages for the last two months,” said one of them, Sahana Begum. “Now we don’t have any food at home. We are dying from starvation.”

    The second-largest apparel producer after China, Bangladesh is set to lose export revenue of about $6 billion this fiscal year, hit by cancellations from some of the world’s largest brands and retailers, two industry bodies said last month.

    Here are official government figures on the spread of the coronavirus in South Asia:

    * India has 11,439 confirmed cases, including 377 deaths

    * Pakistan has 5,988 cases, including 107 deaths

    * Bangladesh has 803 cases, including 39 deaths

    * Afghanistan has 784 cases, including 23 deaths

    * Sri Lanka has 219 cases, including 7 deaths

    * Maldives has 21 cases and no deaths

    * Nepal has 16 cases and no deaths

    * Bhutan has five cases and no deaths

    in.reuters.com/article/health-coronav...
  7. forum rang 4 s.lin 15 april 2020 15:57
    India's March exports down 34.6% y/y - trade ministry
    APRIL 15, 2020

    NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India’s merchandise exports shrank by more than one-third from a year ago, dragged down by a fall in global demand and shipments due to the outbreak of coronavirus, the Trade Ministry said in a statement said on Wednesday.

    Merchandise exports fell to $21.41 billion in March compared with a year earlier, while imports were down 28.72% to $31.16 billion, the data showed.

    in.reuters.com/article/india-economy/...
  8. forum rang 4 s.lin 18 april 2020 23:25
    Lockdown cuts India's fuel demand 50% in first half of April
    17-4-2020
    NEW DELHI (Reuters) - Indian state retailers sold 50% less refined fuel in the first two weeks of April than the same time a year ago as a nationwide lockdown to stem the spread of the new coronavirus hit transportation and industrial activity, industry sources said.

    State companies - Indian Oil Corp, Hindustan Petroleum Corp and Bharat Petroleum - own about 90% of India’s retail fuel outlets.

    India’s gasoil sales by state retailers in the first 15 days of April dropped by 61% from a year earlier while gasoline and jet fuel sales declined by 64% and 94%, provisional industry data provided by two sources, who asked not to be named, show.

    India’s overall refined fuel demand includes consumption of fuel oil, bitumen and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG).

    State-retailers sold 21% more LPG in the first fortnight of April from a year earlier. India is providing free cooking gas cylinders to the poor for three months to June to help them weather the impact of the lockdown.

    India has extended the overall lockdown until May 3, but has announced a roadmap to restart some industrial activity after April 20 in locations that are not coronavirus hotspots to try to revive the economy.

    The International Energy Agency (IEA) in its latest report said India’s annual fuel consumption - a proxy for oil demand - will decline 5.6% in 2020 compared with growth of 2.4% forecast in its March report.
    It estimates India’s gasoline demand will decline by 9%, while diesel will drop by 6.1%.

    The slump in fuel demand has already forced some refiners to halve crude processing and increase prompt exports of refined fuels.

    in.reuters.com/article/india-fuel-dem...
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