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Aandeel AMG Critical Materials N.V. AEX:AMG.NL, NL0000888691

  • 23,780 19 apr 2024 17:37
  • -0,720 (-2,94%) Dagrange 23,540 - 24,160
  • 191.650 Gem. (3M) 245,7K

AMG April 2019

2.065 Posts
Pagina: «« 1 ... 57 58 59 60 61 ... 104 »» | Laatste | Omlaag ↓
  1. forum rang 5 geldmaker 15 april 2019 13:50
    Blijft toch erg onrustig heb nog een redelijk groot belang in AMG maar baal wel dat we vanaf de jaarwisseling bijna niets zijn opgeschoten. Blij dat Besi nog redelijk stijgt anders is het helemaal zo deprimerend. Blijf voorlopig wel in AMG zitten want het moet toch eens gebeuren..
    .
  2. mvdln 15 april 2019 15:41
    Remember 2017?

    1) The Vanadium shock of July 2017

    V2O5 prices moved from around US$5/lb at the end of December 2016 to a multi year high of US$12.50/lb at the end of July 2017. The change in prices was so profound it was called the Vanadium shock of July 2017.

    The following article explains the Vanadium shock of July 2017:

    www.thebushveldperspective.com/blog/p...

    2) The decline from the peak

    After reaching the peak of US$12.50/lb at the end of July 2017, and contrary to the bullish expectation from industry experts, V2O5 prices started a steady decline to as low as $US6.60/lb in the following months before closing 2017 at US$9.50/lb.

    A note on the bullish sentiment with regard to Vanadium: “At the Natural Resources Forum at the London Stock Exchange in July 2017, Robert Friedland spoke “in nothing short of a vanadium-induced ecstasy,” Christopher Ecclestone writes. “Never could we have imagined the metal having such a euphoric effect.”

    So what caused the decline in prices after the July peak when in fact there was a supply shortage between 8,000 - 10.000T in 2017 (source Terry Perles)?

    Two key reasons were given back then:

    Weak spot demand and abundance of spot offers from suppliers trying to realise profits.

    But how come the spot demand was weak after July amid a global shortage of supply?

    My take:

    The answer was that steel mills, during the buying run which pushed the price up to its peak at the end of July, had built up a demand buffer which was also reinforced by their own by-production of Vanadium (Vanadium is mostly produced as a by-product of steel processing especially in China). The buffer allowed the steel mills to lower the spot demand and waited it out as long as they could for the prices to decline as low as possible. However the buffer could not last forever. So sooner or later the supply shortage would force the mills to start another round of buying run again thus causing the prices to rebound by the end of Dec 2017. Well, we all know about the price shock of 2018 don’t we?

    The fundamentals in Vanadium supply and demand have not changed. There is a supply shortage in 2019 as claimed by industry experts. I do expect the next wave of mills purchases will start soon along with a strong rebound in Vanadium prices prior to the summer construction season.

    ---

    Dit stukje geplukt van het stockhouse forum. Interessant artikel om te lezen... Zekerheden zijn er niet, maar het is aannemelijk dat:

    1. Steel mills momenteel bijna volledig door hun aangelegde voorraden van bijna een half jaar geleden zitten

    2. De periode oktober - maart (steeds?) een mindere staalproductie in China

    3. Er is een te kort aan Vanadium, de verminderde vraag van de afgelopen maanden is het gevolg van voorgenoemde 2 argumenten.

    Kortom: binnenkort mogelijk vuurwerk?
  3. KaPeeN63 15 april 2019 16:50
    quote:

    aatje3 schreef op 15 april 2019 12:12:

    Zijn de Vanadium afname contracten tegen vaste prijzen of tegen dagprijzen + een percentage?
    In deze sector worden veelal vaste contracten afgesloten voor x af te nemen hoeveelheden tegen een vaste prijs.
    Zekerheid voor koper en verkoper. Zijn vaak langlopende contracten. (1 jaar bijvoorbeeld)
  4. Schatgraver 15 april 2019 18:02
    Amsterdam, 15 April 2019 --- AMG Advanced Metallurgical Group N.V. ("AMG", EURONEXT AMSTERDAM: "AMG") is hosting a presentation and a facility tour at AMG Technologies' facility in Hanau, Germany on June 11, 2019. AMG Technologies was formed on January 1, 2019 to leverage AMG Engineering's expertise in metallurgical process design & development and AMG Titanium Alloys' industry-leading expertise in the development of metallurgical products, furnace operations, and quality assurance processes. This event will provide an opportunity to learn about the strategy and commercial opportunities which are expected to drive growth within AMG Technologies. The presenters include AMG's CEO, Dr. Heinz Schimmelbusch, AMG's CFO, Jackson Dunckel, and the President of AMG Technologies, Guido Löber.
  5. forum rang 6 b.west.invest 15 april 2019 18:57
    quote:

    wel dra schreef op 15 april 2019 18:21:

    [...]

    De Honden blaffen al bijna een week niet meer.
    nee , maar er zijn er teveel die opbouwen . Heel erg vervelend , ik wacht met instappen tot de eerste begint af te bouwen , op zeker dat AMG gaat stijgen , ik heb er al wel . Blijft spannend wat er gaat gebeuren . Bij bekend making jaarcijfers liep de koers 2 weken van te voren flink op . Dat zie ik nu niet gebeuren , misschien na 1 mei .
  6. forum rang 4 tmaster 15 april 2019 22:10
    quote:

    aatje3 schreef op 15 april 2019 12:12:

    Zijn de Vanadium afname contracten tegen vaste prijzen of tegen dagprijzen + een percentage?
    Staat een prima stuk geschreven in hun 2018 jaarverslag:

    METAL PRICE VOLATILITY RISK
    AMG is exposed to metal price volatility. AMG is primarily a
    processor of metals, so risk can arise from short-term changes
    in price between purchase, process, and sale of the metals or
    from end-user price risk for metals when raw materials are
    purchased under fixed-price contracts. The Company hedges
    exchange-traded metals when possible. In its aluminum business,
    AMG also sells conversion services with no metal-price risk. Most
    metals, alloys and chemicals that AMG processes and sells, such
    as vanadium, chrome metal, tantalum, graphite, niobium, and
    antimony trioxide, cannot be hedged on an exchange. In addition,
    due to rising vanadium prices in 2018, and the related increased
    inventory balances as of year-end, AMG has a higher exposure
    to lower of cost or market (“LCM”) adjustments associated with
    potential price declines.
    To mitigate price risk, AMG takes the following actions:
    • Seeks to enter into complementary raw material supply
    agreements and sales agreements whereby the price is
    determined by the same index;
    • Aligns its raw material purchases with sales orders from
    customers;
    • Establishes low-cost long positions in key raw materials
    through, for example, ownership positions in mining activities or
    structured long-term supply contracts;
    • Maintains limits on acceptable metals positions, as approved by
    the Management Board; and
    • Enters into long-term fixed-price sales contracts at prices which
    are expected to be sustainably above the cost of production.
    Success of the mitigation plan is dependent on the severity
    of metal price volatility and on the stability of counterparties
    performing under their contracts.
    Despite the mitigation strategies
    noted above, AMG retains some exposure to price volatility which
    could have an impact on financial results. Due to the diverse mix of
    metals that AMG processes and the fact that metal processing has
    more pass-through risk than long-position risk, this risk is difficult
    to quantify
  7. forum rang 6 Tom3 16 april 2019 08:03
    Op het Yahoo Largo Resources forum regent het ook jammerklachten over de dalende vanadiumprijs. Een buy-back van aandelen zou worden toegejuicht. Een stijging van de vanadiumprijs is uiteindelijk het enige remedie en die lijkt nog niet in aantocht. Toch gaat het in China inmiddels minder slecht dan verondersteld getuige dit bericht:
    www.argusmedia.com/en/news/1883172-sh...
2.065 Posts
Pagina: «« 1 ... 57 58 59 60 61 ... 104 »» | Laatste |Omhoog ↑

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