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Zelden schreef op 1 december 2018 00:54 :
invst.ly/9dw8w welke conclusies trekt u uit dat schema ?
Dag haas, een uitbraak oftewel een streep. Gaat die over een van die paarse is het een $3-5 feest. Ik wilde in dit draadje wat 'research' dumpen, voor mezelf en anderen, om af en toe te raadplegen. Zoeiets werkt het beste indien er niet gediscussiëerd wordt, alles is dan wat beter terug te vinden. Niet onvriendelijk bedoeld. Ik maak wel een nieuw dumpdraadje. U enig idee of het naar boven of beneden uitbreekt?
$emand Fossil Klein nieuws, grote sluipende gevolgen. "From Sunday, Katowice will host a round of United Nations climate talks, at which nearly 200 countries will attempt to agree rules on how to shift the world economy from fossil fuels to try to curb rising temperatures."widerimage.reuters.com/story/farewell...
$upply Shale recov Nieuwe methode recoverable kwantificeren. Als die gemeengoed wordt kunnen er een paar hun cowboyboots gaan verkopen.oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/New-Bre...
$aper NET 1/12/18 wti/xbnt>1www.business-standard.com/article/int... Money managers cut total positions on West Texas Intermediate crude to the lowest level in five years, according to U.S. data released Friday. They shed bearish bets faster than bullish ones, leaving the net-long position higher for the first time in 12 weeks. (some profits off the table) Because the bets on falling prices shrank faster, net-long positions on WTI edged up 2.6 percent to 155,023 options and futures contracts as of Nov. 27, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission reported. Sentiment on Brent crude more negative. Net-long slid for the ninth straight week to the least bullish point in about three years, according to ICE Futures Europe data. Short were the highest since August 2017. There may be an inkling of more optimism for U.S. prices, he said. “The economy is still looking strong. And the Americans may just be expecting that lower prices will have an effect sooner rather than later and force production cuts in the U.S."
$emand Chinawww.reuters.com/article/column-russel... The dynamics of China’s crude imports. Refinitiv pointing to imports totalling 10.29 million barrels per day (bpd) in November 9.61 million bpd reported by customs in October, which was the highest on record. 9.6 million bpd in April. The November imports likely don’t reflect the full impact of Brent crude’s recent 32 percent plunge, from a close of $86.28 a barrel on Oct. 3 to $58.76 on Wednesday. Many of the cargoes arrived in November would have been arranged, and paid for, when crude oil prices were near their recent peak. The possibility that China will import more crude in coming months. Most market estimates are that it is only about half way to meeting the target of 90 days of import cover. The smaller refiners are believed to have been active in the market in recent months, as they attempt to fill their import quotas prior to the end of the year. This may result in a bringing forward of some demand, meaning the independents may buy less in the early months of the new year. There is also uncertainty surrounding Iran. There may be some temptation on the part of Chinese refiners to buy Iranian crude while they still can, given the waiver granted by the United States to China and seven other Iranian customers will expire around April next year. What is certain is that China isn’t buying any cargoes from the United States, even though crude isn’t yet subject to any tariffs as part of the trade dispute between Washington and Beijing, unlike coal and liquefied natural gas. No U.S. tankers have been assessed by Refinitiv as having been discharged in China since September, with refiners re-selling cargoes to India and Taiwan. What is clear is that even a brief look at the current shows there is considerably more to the market than merely the focus on the likely news headlines from the G20 circus. (Editing by Joseph Radford)
$upplywww.bp.com/content/dam/bp/en/corporat... 2018 World Energy o.a. Total proved reserves
(Vorige had $3-5 target, werd $4) *2invst.ly/9ffaz Paars: exit of winstpakken/afromen Groene box: overweeg long Rode box: overweeg short (boxen: wel of geen actie hangt helemaal af van hoe die beweegt, de manier waarop die daar gekomen is evt. regeert op nieuws of trading activiteiten) Geen target want OPEC. Omlaag wordt heftig, omhoog kan trendwende zijn (tot April ong., wsl korter) P.S. Weet je hoe het gaat lopen met die ETF's, dat 'passieve' beleggen? Die zitten allang short jouw 'appartementje binnen de ring'... én je pensioenpotje. De banken/fondsen gaan dan kwartetten. Onderling fondsjes ruilen en langzaam aan krijgt er een een paar zwarte pieten toegespeeld. Koppen bij elkaar en in overleg gaat de stekker eruit. Jij krijgt een 'betreurenswaardige mededeling' en centjes weg, zij starten weer een nieuwe.
$upplywww.irna.ir/en/News/83123812 wordt lekker opgeklopt met vliegdekship op weg naar golf Dit baart eigenlijk meer zorgen LT. Het gaat om die pijpleiding. Wie neemt de stakes over? english.mubasher.info/news/3379030/Ex... Niet vergeten: 'de witwas-salon van de wereld' US still imports nearly half its oil needs: Marathon Petroleum CEOvideo.foxbusiness.com/v/5975812789001... "supply patterns"
$upply EU-markt Dat het anders moet is duidelijk, maar niet overdrijven a.u.b. news.am/eng/news/484866.html www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-ins...
$emand "It’s not as consistent with the latest report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which highlights the need to cut 45 percent of carbon emissions by 2030 before zeroing them out by mid-century . Without the massive scale-up of so-called negative emissions measures — a suite of largely untested or prohibitively expensive technologies, such as carbon capture and storage — oil and gas use (Shell’s bread and butter) will have to decline by 87 percent and 74 percent , respectively."theintercept.com/2018/12/08/shell-oil... (Zoals het er nu uitziet is het een grote oplichterij met die 'carbon credits'. Het gaat vooral om het handelen daarin. Daar profiteren alleen de producenten, de lobbygroepen en de banken van. Waarschijnlijk gaat het ook malversaties en corruptie in de hand werken, op hoog niveau en toegedekt met 'officiële' cijfers. BLOCKCHAIN moet hier geimplementeerd worden, anders kan er straks niemand meer bij de 'data' en 'afspraken'!)
$upply Best estimate situatie januari, na de cut: seekingalpha.com/article/4227082-opec... (let op: 3 pag.; comments)
$emand COP24www.nytimes.com/2018/12/15/climate/co... Most delegates at the talks had wanted to formally endorse a major report issued in October by the United Nations scientific panel on climate change, which said that fossil-fuel emissions would have to fall roughly in half within 12 years to avoid severe climate disruptions. “Of course it’s important to have these rules, but a lot of the real action is happening by entrepreneurs; it’s happening by business people; it’s happening by the finance sector; by the money flowing; it’s happening at the city and state level,” said Catherine McKenna, Canada’s environment minister.
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