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China hits new record with January oil imports by 19pct YoY - GAC Published on Mon, 19 Feb 2018 China established itself as the world’s largest importer of crude in January with shipments increasing by 19.4% YoY to a record high of 40.64 million tonnes (9.61 million bpd), according to the General Administration of Customs (GAC). Last month’s figure exceeded the March 2017 record high of 9.21 million bpd. China’s crude imports during the whole of 2017 displaced the US as the world’s largest importer, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) confirmed last week. According to EIA data, China imported an average of 8.4 million bpd compared with US imports of 7.9 million bpd. GAC data put Chinese imports for the year at 8.49 million bpd. The administration noted that in terms of total petroleum and liquid fuel imports, China became the world’s largest net importer in 2013. The EIA attributed China’s growing imports to new refinery capacity, strategic inventory stockpiling and declining domestic oil production, which in 2017 declined by 4% to 191.51 million tonnes (3.85 million bpd). Reports from China say authorities have boosted the crude oil import allocations for independent refiners and that state-owned refiners have maintained high throughput levels. Asian forecasters expect China’s importers to average about 8.8 million bpd in February. Market share OPEC continued to be the main supplier of crude oil to China, accounting for 56% of imports, down from 67% in 2012, the EIA reported. That shift in market percentage during that time went to Russia and Brazil, with Russia’s share of China’s imports expanding from 9% to 14% and Brazil’s rising from 2% to 5%. Russia has been China’s top crude oil supplier for the last two years, forcing OPEC leader Saudi Arabia out of the top spot. China imported 59.7 million tonnes (1.2 million bpd) of Russian oil in 2017 and that figure is expected to stay roughly the same in 2018. Russian exports will increase significantly with the opening in January of a second 15 million tpy (300,000 bpd) capacity pipeline that is part of the East Siberia-Pacific Ocean (ESPO) network. State-run China New said imports of ESPO crude had risen to 2.41 million tonnes (568,000 bpd) in January, an increase of 66% year on year. The pipeline extends from the border town of Mohe to the northeastern city of Daqing. China plans to import Russian crude through the ESPO route at a rate of 600,000 bpd in 2018. In 2017, crude shipments exceeded the pipeline’s 300,000 bpd capacity, averaging 330,000 bpd. Russia’s success at exporting crude to China has, however, left some European buyers of Russian crude disappointed with the quality they are now receiving, according to Reuters. Quality control The agency reported because of Russia’s quest to acquire market share in China in competition to the US and OPEC, the quality of Russia’s Urals crude had deteriorated and European customers were reviewing their purchases and the price they are willing to pay. It said that some buyers were looking to renegotiate prices, while others were complaining that they were unable to refine current deliveries of Urals. Urals Blend is mixed within Russia’s pipeline system and the quality depends on the combination of higher quality and lower quality darker oils. Reuters said data on Urals composition in recent shipments showed the standard was at the bottom end of the quality range. It also reported that the price of ESPO Blend was about US$3 per barrel higher than what Russia was earning from Urals in 2017. Meanwhile, US exports to China are rising and averaged about 400,000 bpd in January. China is reported to be attracted to US crude by its price and the US is keen to sell oil to China in an effort to rebalance trade figures. In a further development, China will launch its first crude oil future contract on the Shanghai International Energy Exchange on March 26. China has been planning the move for several years, but has been cautious about putting all the rules and regulations in place. The State Council recently approved the contract’s launch. The contract will be a medium sour crude with an API gravity of 32 degrees and a 1.5% sulphur content, Platts reported. There will be seven deliverable grades included in the crude futures contract: Upper Zakum, Qatar Marine, Masila, Dubai, Oman, Basrah Light and Shengli. Source : Strategic Research Institute
Olieprijs omhoog Brent wel goedkoper. (ABM FN-Dow Jones)De olieprijs is dinsdag gestegen. De maart-future voor een vat ruwe olie slootop de New York Mercantile Exchange 0,4 procent, ofwel 0,22 dollar, hoger op 61,90 dollar per vat. Opvallend was dat het verschil tussen enerzijds West Texas Intermediate en anderzijds Brent kleiner werd. Een vat Brent stond onder druk doordat de dollar een opmars maakte, hoewel dit ook de prijsstijging van een vat WTI intoomde. Vrees blijft Volgens marktanalist David Madden van CMC Markets blijven "dezelfde oude angsten de ronde doen" in de oliemarkt. De driejarige prijspiek in januari heeft de Amerikaanse olieproductie volgens Madden naar een recordniveau gejaagd. "Maar niet alleen de Verenigde Staten profiteren van deze relatief sterke energiemarkt", aldus de analist. Nigeria produceert ook duidelijk meer dan oliekartel OPEC zou willen, aldus Madden. RBN Energy merkte daarentegen op dat in Canada vrijwel elk verzoek om nieuwe capaciteit in Alberta, de belangrijkste olieregio van het land, toe te voegen, wordt afgewezen door de autoriteiten. Het is dus maar afwachten, aldus RBN, welke pijpleidingen worden afgebouwd en wanneer. Dit beleid heeft volgens RBN duidelijk een negatief effect op de prijsvorming van Western Canadian Select. Door: ABM Financial News.info@abmfn.nl Redactie: +31(0)20 26 28 999 Copyright ABM Financial News. All rights reserved (END) Dow Jones Newswires
US rig count remains unchanged at 975 this week - Baker Hughes AP reported that the number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the US didn't increase this week, remaining at 975 for the second week in a row. That exceeds the 751 rigs that were active this time a year ago. Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported 798 rigs drilled for oil this week and 177 for gas. Among major oil- and gas-producing states, Oklahoma increased by five rigs, Alaska gained four and Pennsylvania increased by three. New Mexico decreased by three rigs; Louisiana, Ohio and West Virginia each lost two; and Colorado and North Dakota each decreased by one. Source : AP
Global oil demand in 2018 forecast to grow 1.6 million bpd – MrBarkindo Reuters cited OPEC Secretary-General Mr Mohammad Barkindo as saying that global oil demand for 2018 is estimated to grow 1.6 million barrels per day due to an “encouraging environment.” Mr Barkindo said that commercial oil stocks for the OECD rose in January 2018 and were about 74 million barrels over the latest five year average. Source : Reuters
Olieprijs eindigt lager Handelaren wachten op nieuwe voorraadcijfers. (ABM FN-Dow Jones)De olieprijs is woensdag licht lager gesloten, na een rustige handelsdag, in afwachting van wekelijkse cijfers over de Amerikaanse olievoorraden. De aprilfuture voor een vat ruwe olie op de New York Mercantile Exchange eindigde 0,11 dollar lager op 61,68 dollar. De dollar steeg licht ten opzichte van andere grote valuta. Een duurdere dollar zet de olieprijs onder druk, omdat olie wereldwijd in dollars wordt verhandeld. De American Petroleum Institute zal woensdag zijn voorspelling doen over de Amerikaanse olievoorraden, gevolgd door officiële cijfers van de Energy Information Administration donderdag. Vorige week bleken de Amerikaanse olievoorraden met 1,8 miljoen vaten te zijn gestegen, wat minder was dan verwacht. Analisten voorzien nu een stijging met 1,9 miljoen vaten in de afgelopen week. Door: ABM Financial News.info@abmfn.nl Redactie: +31(0)20 26 28 999 Copyright ABM Financial News. All rights reserved (END) Dow Jones Newswires
Amerikaanse olievoorraden dalen Capaciteitsbenutting verder omlaag. (ABM FN-Dow Jones) De voorraden ruwe olie in de Verenigde Staten zijn vorige week gedaald. Dit bleek donderdag uit cijfers van de Energy Information Administration. De cijfers verschenen een dag later vanwege de viering van President's Day op maandag. In de week eindigend op 16 februari daalden de olievoorraden met 1,6 miljoen vaten tot 420,5 miljoen vaten. De benzinevoorraden liepen op met circa 0,3 miljoen tot 249,3 miljoen vaten, terwijl de voorraden stookolie slonken met zo'n 2,4 miljoen vaten tot 138,9 miljoen vaten. De capaciteitsbenutting van de raffinaderijen daalde van 89,8 naar 88,1 procent. Door: ABM Financial News.info@abmfn.nl Redactie: +31(0)20 26 28 999 Copyright ABM Financial News. All rights reserved (END) Dow Jones Newswires
Shale bonanza means US oil production at a 50-year high Three years ago, the US shale oil boom appeared to be over, apparently starved to death when OPEC flooded the market with cheap oil. As prices plummeted from over USD 100 to USD 40 a barrel, shale oil production - the drilling and hydraulic fracturing (fracking) of unconventional oil deposits found in shale formations - quickly became uneconomic. In just under a year, more than 130 US shale producers, from Pennsylvania to North Dakota, declared bankruptcy, leaving tens of thousands of American oil workers without jobs. But the highly cyclical nature of the energy sector, and a rebound in oil prices to more than $60 a barrel, have helped revive the fortunes of most US shale producers almost as quickly as they stalled. Last month, the US Energy Information Administration predicted that American oil output would soon surpass 10 million barrels per day (bpd), eclipsing a previous record in 1970 when conventional US oil production peaked. Next year, the US is on target to outstrip Russia and Saudi Arabia to become the world’s largest oil producer, and will become a net energy exporter within five years, the Paris-based International Energy Agency has forecast. Adapt to survive One reason credited with helping the US shale sector quickly reverse its fortunes was the ragged determination of producers. Many of them kept pumping oil despite going bust, while smarter drilling techniques boosted their chances of survival. Divya Reddy, an energy analyst at the world’s largest political risk consultancy, the Eurasia Group, told DW “US producers made inroads in terms of lowering costs and boosting drilling efficiencies so they were able to focus production on core shale ‘sweet spots’ to prevent a dramatic decline in production during the downturn.” Reddy said many producers have been able to hedge at USD 55+ a barrel levels which support shale’s continued growth. The recent oil price rebound was fueled by OPEC agreeing in late 2016 with several non-member states - including Russia - to limit oil supply, to help drain excess inventories and boost prices. That agreement, which remains in place until the end of the year, inadvertently gave American shale a vital shot in the arm. He said that “If the US shale boom hadn’t occurred, the world would have been living with $100+ oil since 2007,” referring to how oil prices skyrocketed as a result of the financial crisis. He believes the sector’s resurgence “slows down OPEC’s plan to return inventories to normal levels,” and will likely help keep prices in check for now. Less price volatility Rapier’s view is backed up by a new report from the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (OIES), which suggests US shale production will keep oil prices within a tight trading range of USD 60 to USD 75 per barrel for the next few years. Any price rise would boost shale’s fortunes, which would add enough supply to force prices back down, according to OIES’ forecasts. The Eurasia Group’s Reddy expects that shale will be boosted by “efficiency gains and some consolidation in the sector in the hands of financially stronger companies [that] will put a floor under any possible fallout.” But she warned that geopolitical shocks could still “cause temporary crude price spikes that can filter down to gasoline prices,” specifically the ongoing political crisis in Venezuela and the potential for US President Donald Trump to reimpose sanctions on Iran. Rapier, who authored the book “Power Plays: Energy Options in the Age of Peak Oil,” told DW that while it was in the US producers’ interests to keep oil prices fairly constant, “there are thousands of oil companies all making decisions based on a thousand different outlooks.” He said US oil producers were unlikely to work together to restrain production in the same way as OPEC, and predicted that if oil prices rose to $70 per barrel or above, “you will see a frenzy again in the US, with many producers throwing discipline to the wind.” How sustainable? Rising oil demand from a growing global economy will also be a boon to US shale producers. But doubts remain over whether OPEC’s production discipline deal will hold, amid compliance issues from some countries. “Eventually - probably next year - OPEC will need to consider a phased unwinding of the cuts, which will prove difficult to manage neatly — and without a consequent price dip,” warned Reddy. Once again, any major price fall would weaken the viability of US shale. Questions remain over whether US shale output levels can be sustained over the medium term, which will allow the US to become truly energy independent. About 50-60 percent of extraction typically takes place in the first year of shale production. Finding abundant areas of shale deposits is tricky and costly, and even within ‘sweet spots,’ much of the oil is uneconomical to extract, meaning production forecasts could be well wide of the mark. “That’s the big question. If it’s over — the US shale boom — in 3-4 years, then OPEC and Russia will be back in the driver’s seat. But if US production can increase for the next 10 years, it’s going to be tough for OPEC and Russia to control the market,” said Rapier, who is also director of Alternative Fuels Technology at Arizona-based Advanced Green Innovations. Reddy believes a strengthened shale sector can dominate despite the industry’s recent growing pains and OPEC dominance. “The big benefit for US shale production is its quick ramp up time, so in a volatile oil market, investment will favor US shale rather than long-cycle investments that could take years rather than months to come on stream,” she told DW. Source : Stratetic Research Institute
Olieprijs verder omhoog Gebruikelijke opbouw voorraden VS blijft nog uit. (ABM FN-Dow Jones)De olieprijs is maandag gestegen, voortbordurend op de winst die vorig week werd geboekt op een productiestop in Libië en een onverwachte daling van de Amerikaanse olievoorraden. De aprilfuture voor een vat ruwe olie op de New York Mercantile Exchange sloot maandag 0,6 procent hoger op 63,91, na een dieptepunt op 63,06 dollar. Vorige week steeg de olieprijs met zo'n 3,3 procent, maar sinds het begin van de maand staat de olieprijs nog altijd 1 procent lager. Brent-olie steeg 0,3% tot 67,51 dollar in Londen, na de stijging van 3,8 procent vorige week. Het wekelijkse rapport over de Amerikaanse olievoorraden van aanstaande woensdag "zal waarschijnlijk steun bieden, aangezien de voor februari gebruikelijke toename van olievorraden zich nog altijd niet laat zien, omdat de netto invoer lager is", zei Matt Smith van ClipperData. Afgelopen donderdag meldde de Amerikaanse overheid een verrassende daling van de olievoorraad met 1,6 procent over de voorgaande week, na weken met toenemende voorraden die de olieprijs onder druk had gezet, in combinatie met hogere productiecijfers. De afgelopen twee weken zijn de olieprijzen echter weer met meer dan 7 procent gestegen. Vrijdag verklaarde het nationale oliebedrijf Libië niet te kunnen voldoen aan zijn exportverplichtingen, na een gewelddadig protest door lokale bewakers. "Gezien de politieke situatie kan de productie volatiel blijven", zei analist Jan Edelmann van HSH Nordbank. Door: ABM Financial News.info@abmfn.nl Redactie: +31(0)20 26 28 999 Copyright ABM Financial News. All rights reserved (END) Dow Jones Newswires
India asks Saudi Arabia for 'reasonable' oil pricing PTI reported that India asked the world's largest oil producer Saudi Arabia for a "reasonable" oil pricing that balances the interest of producer and consuming nations. After talks with visiting Saudi oil minister Mr Khalid Al-Falih, Petroleum Minister Mr Dharmendra Pradhan said India is a price sensitive market and so "we must get reasonable price for crude oil and LPG" imported from the OPEC nation. Saudi Arabia is india's second biggest source of crude oil after Iraq. This fiscal it will import 36.5 million tonnes of crude oil from Saudi Arabia. Also 25 per cent of LPG also comes from the Gulf nation. He said that "What we discussed was that price of crude oil is such that it does not result in a loss to producers and at the same time protects consuming nation's interest. They (Saudi Arabia) was in agreement on the issue." He added that some mechanism will need to be deviced to address this. Source : PTI
Saudis see oil output cuts easing in 2019 - Mr Al-Falih Bloomberg reported that OPEC and its allies including Russia may next year ease the crude-output curbs that have helped prices recover from the worst crash in a generation, according to Saudi Arabia’s oil minister. With the market moving toward equilibrium and bloated inventories shrinking, the next step for global producers will be to phase out the reductions, Mr Khalid Al-Falih told reporters in New Delhi. The nations taking part in the supply curbs are currently studying what a crude re-balancing will entail, and will announce their next steps once that’s analyzed. Mr Al-Falih said that the production curbs may be eased “sometime in 2019, but we don’t know when and we don’t know how.” “What we know is that it’s going to be done in a way that it will not in any way disturb the balance and undo the hard work since 2016.” A deal between the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners aimed at shrinking a global glut began in 2017 and runs through the end of this year. With U.S. production booming and the International Energy Agency predicting that expanding supply from non-OPEC countries may cover global demand growth for the next two years, speculation has increased over how long the cartel will have to curb supply. US Oil “Welcome” Mr Al-Falih welcomed the rise in U.S. production, saying that demand is seen remaining strong in 2018 and that the market will be able to absorb that supply. While America is pumping out record volumes, that’s being accompanied by a surge in exports, which has jumped to a four-month high. Even Saudi Arabia has considered shipping American crude abroad. The demand for cargoes is helping drain the nation’s stockpiles, easing concern that OPEC’s efforts to erode a glut will be undermined. While countries involved in the production cuts are considering how to extend their partnership in coming years, keeping output constrained could be a challenge as the deal has shown some signs of strain. Russian oil companies, eager to press on with new projects, have pushed for a swift end to the curbs, while OPEC members like Iraq, Iran and Libya are keen to expand capacity after years of lost revenues amid sanctions and conflict. He said that “The framework beyond 2018 is yet to be determined, but for sure from the Saudi and from the OPEC standpoint, there is a determination to translate the success of 2017 and 2018, partial as it may be, into a lasting framework that allows us to avoid instability in the oil markets.” Saudi Arabia is committed to meeting its production curb pledge and balancing exports, he said, adding that the nation, the world’s biggest oil exporter, will keep overseas shipments in March below 7 million barrels a day. Source : Bloomberg
Mr Al-Falih says oil market is rebalancing Reuters cited Saudi Arabia’s Oil Minister Mr Khalid al-Falih as saying that oil markets are rebalancing and he expected inventories to continue declining this year. Mr Falih, who is on a two-day India visit, said that “The oil markets, it’s clear, are rebalancing.” Mr Falih said that “This is a period of soft demand as we all know because of seasonality. Refineries are undergoing maintenance as well as low consumer demand but the data speaks for itself.” He said that “Many agencies have documented the decline in inventories and I think that’ll continue in 2018,” adding that he hoped markets would stabilise. Source : Reuters
Russia remains China’s top oil supplier as pipeline expands Reuters reported that Russia remained the top crude oil supplier to China in January, data showed, beginning 2018 on a strong note after the start-up of an expanded trans-Siberia pipeline and as Beijing released more crude import quotas to independent refiners. Angola and Iraq took the second and third positions for the month, leapfrogging Saudi Arabia, which was the second-largest supplier to China in 2017. Data from the Chinese General Administration of Customs showed, Russian supplies came in at 5.67 million tonnes, or 1.34 million barrels per day (bpd), up 23.4 percent from a year earlier. The January number compared with 1.194 million bpd in December. Last month, data showed Russia notched up its second year as China’s largest supplier in 2017, surpassing Saudi Arabia – OPEC’s top exporter – by some 150,000 barrels each day. The strong Russian exports to the world’s largest crude oil buyer came as a second East Siberia-Pacific Ocean (ESPO) pipeline, as well as expanded domestic connections in China, started commercial operation in January. In a reshuffle of the pack, Angola ranked second with 4.68 million tonnes, or 1.1 million bpd, of crude in January, down 5.4 percent from a year earlier. China imported 4.45 million tonnes, or 1.05 million bpd, of crude from Iraq, up 28 percent from a year ago. Saudi Arabia supplied 4.29 million tonnes, or 1.01 million bpd, to China in January. That was down 15 percent from the same year-ago rate and compared with 1.11 million bpd in December. Even so, exports from the kingdom are expected to rise to record levels this year as Saudi Aramco ramps up supplies to Chinese state oil firm CNOOC, as well as the Huajin refinery owned by defense giant NORINCO. China’s total crude oil imports last month soared 20 percent from the same month a year earlier to a record rate of 9.57 million barrels per day, beating the previous peak of 9.17 million bpd. Source : Reuters
Olieprijs lager gesloten Markt kijkt uit naar EIA-voorradenrapport. (ABM FN-Dow Jones)De prijs voor een vat ruwe olie is dinsdag lager gesloten, vanwege de verwachting dat de Amerikaanse voorraden ruwe olie vorige week zijn gestegen. Woensdag publiceert de Amerikaanse Energy Information Administration zijn wekelijkse voorradenrapport. Vooraf door S&P Global Platts geraadpleegde economen rekenen op een stijging van de voorraden ruwe olie in de Verenigde Staten van 2,1 miljoen vaten. Maandag steeg de olieprijs tot zijn hoogste niveau in drie weken, juist vanwege een onverwachte daling van de Amerikaanse ruwe olievoorraden in de week eindigend op 16 februari. De Verenigde Staten is vanwege de stijgende productie momenteel goed op weg de grootste olieproducent ter wereld te worden en zou volgens het IEA deze mijlpaal dit jaar al kunnen bereiken. Nadat Amerika Saoedi Arabië vorig jaar al passeerde als de op één na grootste producent ter wereld, is het waarschijnlijk dat de grootste economie ter wereld dit jaar Rusland, momenteel de grootste producent ter wereld, zal passeren, aldus het IEA. "Marktvolgers zullen nauwgezet naar de data van deze week kijken om te zien of de daling van de Amerikaanse ruwe olievoorraden vorige week eenmalig was of niet", zei grondstof-econoom Thomas Pugh van Capital Economics. Het sterke slot van de oliemarkt maandag was tevens het resultaat van een zwakkere Amerikaanse dollar, een daling van de treasury-rendementen en de rally op de wereldwijde aandelenmarkten", aldus analist Tamas Varga van PVM Oil Associates. De aprilfuture voor een vat ruwe olie op de New York Mercantile Exchange sloot dinsdag 1,4 procent, ofwel 0,90 dollar, lager op 63,01 dollar. Door: ABM Financial News.info@abmfn.nl Redactie: +31(0)20 26 28 999 Copyright ABM Financial News. All rights reserved (END) Dow Jones Newswires
Amerikaanse olievoorraden stijgen Capaciteitsbenutting omlaag. (ABM FN)De voorraden ruwe olie in de Verenigde Staten zijn vorige week gestegen. Dit bleek woensdag uit cijfers van de Energy Information Administration. In de week eindigend op 23 februari stegen de olievoorraden met 3,0 miljoen vaten tot 423,5 miljoen vaten. De benzinevoorraden liepen op met circa 2,5 miljoen tot 251,8 miljoen vaten, terwijl de voorraden stookolie slonken met een kleine 1,0 miljoen vaten tot 138,0 miljoen vaten. De capaciteitsbenutting van de raffinaderijen daalde van 88,1 naar 87,8 procent. Door: ABM Financial News.pers@abmfn.be Redactie: +32(0)78 486 481 Copyright ABM Financial News. All rights reserved (END) Dow Jones Newswires
Olieprijs verder omlaag Toenemende Amerikaanse voorraden drukken olieprijs (ABM FN-Dow Jones)De olieprijs is woensdag gedaald, onder druk van oplopende Amerikaanse voorraden. De aprilfuture op een vat West Texas Intermediate daalde 2,2 procent op een settlement van 61,64 dollar. Overheidsdienst Energy Information Administration maakte bekend dat de olievoorraden in de Verenigde Staten vorige week met 3 miljoen vaten zijn gestegen, en de benzinevoorraden met 2,5 miljoen vaten. Daar stond een daling van de voorraden stookolie met 1 miljoen vaten tegenover. In totaal namen de brandstofvoorraden met bijna 4 miljoen vaten toe. Hoewel die toename werd verwacht door analisten, bleek die evenwel sterker dan was voorzien. Dit kan een teken zijn dat de brandstof export hapert, volgens analist Kyle Cooper van ION Energy Group. Ondertussen bleef de Amerikaanse productie ook afgelopen week boven de 10 miljoen vaten per dag. Dit wakkert de zorgen verder aan dat de toenemende schalie output in de Verenigde Staten de impact van de productieverlaging van de OPEC en een aantal andere grote producenten, zoals Rusland, flink beperkt. De vrees bestaat zelfs dat Amerika in 2019 het stokje van Rusland overneemt als grootste olieproducent ter wereld. De olieprijs stond dinsdag ook al onder druk nadat de financiële markten in het algemeen rood kleurden vanwege de toegenomen verwachting op verder stijgende Amerikaanse rentes dit jaar. Dit zette de dollar hoger en de aandelenmarkten juist lager, aldus analist Tariq Zahir van Tyche Capital Advisors. "Ik zal niet beweren dat de olieprijs door dit soort toenemende effecten niet verder omhoog kan, maar het zijn invloeden van buitenaf [voor de oliemarkt] die we al een tijdje niet meer hebben gezien", waarschuwde de marktvorser. Door: ABM Financial News.info@abmfn.nl Redactie: +31(0)20 26 28 999 Copyright ABM Financial News. All rights reserved (END) Dow Jones Newswires
US crude oil could disrupt output cut deal - Report Gulf News reported that oil prices recovered slightly last week due to shutdown of an oilfield in Libya but a rise in the US crude oil production could pose a challenge and disrupt the effectiveness of Opec- (Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) led output cut agreement in propping up prices, analysts said. Opec and non-Opec producers led by Russia are restraining production by about 1.8 million barrels per day to prop up prices under a deal that is to expire at the end of this year. Opec has cut output by 1.2 million barrels a day and non-Opec producers by about 555,000 barrels per day. Mihir Kapadia, chief executive officer of Sun Global Investments in London, said that “The oil markets continue to feel the pressure from prospect of rising US output. Figures from the EIA (Energy Information Administration) on Thursday indicated an unexpected fall in US crude stockpiles did provide relief and gains for oil. However, traders remain concerned by the US’ rising exports, which far outweigh oil imports, which if unchecked, could still have the power to disrupt Opec and Russia’s production cuts.” According to the latest information released by Baker Hughes, US rig Count is up 3 rigs from last week at 978, with oil rigs up 1 to 799 and gas rigs up 2 at 179. Mr Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, said that “The latest weekly report from the US Energy Information Administration delivered a triple dose of bullish news with WTI surging to resistance at $63.15 per barrel. This followed a surprise counter-seasonal drop in stocks driven by surging exports while production was flat following a recent jump.” Source : Gulf News
Iraq preparing to tender water injection project if Exxon talks fail - Mr Al Ameedi Reuters reported that Iraq's Basra Oil Co is preparing to tender for a water injection project vital to increase its oil production capacity if talks with Exxon Mobil fail, the head of the oil ministry's licensing and contracts office said. "We cannot wait for a longer time unless Exxon Mobil accepts the deal for the benefit of the two parties," Abdul Mahdi al-Ameedi told reporters on the sidelines of the CWC Iraq Petroleum Conference in Berlin. Iraqi Oil Minister Mr Jabar al-Luaibi said in October Iraq was in final talks with Exxon on developing the project, which consists of building oil pipelines, storage and a mechanism to inject water from the Gulf into oil reservoirs. Mr Al Ameedi said part of the delay in negotiations with Exxon and Petrochina, another interested party, related to initial production rates from the Nahr Bin Umar and Artawi oilfields. He said that "In the beginning when we discussed with them, the initial production rate from the two fields was in the order of 40,000 bpd (barrels per day), but now it is more than 125,000 bpd." Source : Reuters
Olieprijs sluit weer lager Daling na afnemende olievoorraden zet door. (ABM FN-Dow Jones)De olieprijs is donderdag verder gedaald. De aprilfuture op een vat West Texas Intermediate daalde 1,1 procent op een settlement van 60,99 dollar. Een dag eerder bleek uit het wekelijkse rapport dat de Amerikaanse olievoorraden zijn gestegen, met 3 miljoen vaten. De benzinevoorraden namen met 2,5 miljoen vaten toe. Alleen de voorraden stookolie daalden, met 1 miljoen vaten. Olieprijzen daalden hierop en vandaag zette deze daling door. "Het wekelijkse voorradenrapport was alles behalve positief", zei analist Tamas Varga van PVM. De daling van de benzinevoorraden was niet logisch aangezien brandstofvoorraden normaal gesproken niet oplopen tijdens onderhoudsperiodes aan raffinaderijen. "De benutting van de raffinaderijen is nog steeds laag, dus zouden we lagere voorraden moeten zien, maar er is nog geen sterke vraag", zei directeur Ehsan Ul-Haq van Resource Economist. Door: ABM Financial News.info@abmfn.nl Redactie: +31(0)20 26 28 999 Copyright ABM Financial News. All rights reserved (END) Dow Jones Newswires
Chevron: vraag naar olie en gas blijft hoog Gepubliceerd op 2 mrt 2018 om 09:49 | Views: 1.171 Chevron Corporation 15:44 110,55 -1,49 (-1,33%) New York WTI spot 01 mrt 60,99 -0,65 (-1,05%) Royal Dutch Shell A 15:44 25,29 -0,72 (-2,75%) SAN RAMON (AFN) - De vraag naar olie en gas blijft nog decennia hoog, ondanks de overgang naar andere schonere energiebronnen. Dat concludeert de Amerikaanse olie- en gasgigant Chevron in een rapport over de energiemarkt. Chevron bestudeerde meerdere scenario's van de effecten van veranderingen op de energiemarkt. Momenteel draait de wereld nog voor 54 procent op olie en gas. Zelfs in het voor de sector meest ongunstige geval is dat in 2040 nog altijd 48 procent, stelt Chevron. De komende jaren liggen een aantal voor de olie- en gassector ongustige maatregelen op de loer. Zo komen er mogelijk strengere regels om de uitstoot van broeikasgassen te beperken, zoals heffingen voor de uitstoot van CO2. Ook rukken hernieuwbare energiebronnen verder op. Daardoor ontstaat het risico dat sommige olie- en gasprojecten verlieslatend worden, waardoor aandeelhouders zich mogelijk zullen roeren. Chevron-strategiemanager Mark Nelson maakt zich geen zorgen over de aanstaande veranderingen, zo liet hij blijken in een interview. De risico's van onrendabele investeringen voor het bedrijf zijn volgens hem ,,erg klein". Het bedrijf is begonnen zijn investeringen meer te spreiden en steekt ook meer geld in hernieuwbare energie, net als branchegenoten Shell en ExxonMobil.
Olieproductie VS voorziet in hogere vraag Gepubliceerd op 5 mrt 2018 om 11:08 | Views: 1.441 New York WTI spot 02 mrt 61,25 +0,26 (+0,43%) Royal Dutch Shell A 16:25 25,44 +0,07 (+0,28%) PARIJS (AFN) - De groei van de olieproductie in met name de Verenigde Staten is komende jaren groot genoeg om aan de groeiende vraag naar olie te voldoen. Dat meldt het Internationaal Energieagentschap (IEA). Na 2020 zijn er meer investeringen nodig om de productie op peil te houden. Vanwege de hoge olieprijzen hebben Amerikaanse schaliebedrijven hun productie flink opgeschroefd. Mede daardoor kunnen de VS de komende drie jaar alleen al in 80 procent van de extra vraag voorzien. De rest van die grotere behoefte aan olie kunnen Canada, Brazilië en Noorwegen opvangen met hun groeiende productie. Ondanks de dalende kosten ziet het agentschap in Parijs nog nauwelijks meer investeringen buiten de VS. Die investeringen zijn wel nodig om de groeiende vraag na 2020 bij te houden, waarschuwt het agentschap. Venezuela De wereldwijde olieproductie groeit naar verwachting tot 107 miljoen vaten per dag in 2023. Dat zijn er 6,4 miljoen meer dan dit jaar. Ruim de helft van die extra vaten komt uit de VS. Dankzij de schalierevolutie produceren de Amerikanen over vijf jaar 17 miljoen vaten per dag. De productiegroei van de OPEC-landen wordt geremd door onrust in Venezuela. De productie is daar de laatste twintig jaar met meer dan 50 procent gedaald en die daling zal naar verwachting alleen maar sneller worden. Ondanks productiegroei in Irak produceren de OPEC-landen daardoor samen in 2023 slechts 750.000 vaten per dag meer dan dit jaar.
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