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Forum AMG Critical Materials N.V. NL0000888691

Koers (€) |
38,080  
Range | 37,16 - 38,42
+0,600   (+1,60%)
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305.987
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AMG

AMG Critical Materials 2025

Eerste post
    Reactie Reactie van: dd20250730
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  2. 1”
    AMG Lithium B.V.
    • After successfully commissioning the lithium hydroxide refinery in Bitterfeld in
    May and having produced material in specification, we are ramping up the plant
    and advancing in the qualification process with customers.
    AMG Vanadium B.V.
    • SARBV’s “Supercenter” phase 1 project in Saudi Arabia is in detailed engineering
    which is progressing according to plan. All critical equipment has been ordered,
    and awarding of the secondary items are underway. EPC bids from pre-qualified
    vendors have been received and are currently being evaluated prior to award.
    • AMG Vanadium successfully bid for significant quantities of spent catalyst in
    Saudi Arabia and the Middle East. This incremental inventory will help AMG
    Vanadium reduce the volatility of spent catalyst supply deliveries.
    2
    AMG Technologies
    • AMG Technologies achieved an exceptionally strong result, driven by an ongoing
    high order backlog at AMG Engineering and strong profitability from AMG
    Antimony. Adjusted EBITDA of $53 million in the second quarter of 2025 was
    almost triple the $18 million for the segment in the same period last year.
    Financial Highlights
    • AMG’s liquidity as of June 30, 2025 was $462 million, with $262 million of
    unrestricted cash and $200 million of revolving credit availability.
    • AMG’s adjusted gross profit of $97 million in the second quarter of 2025 was
    60% higher than the same period in 2024. This significant improvement was
    largely driven by AMG Technologies’ strong performance compared to the prior
    quarter.
    • Adjusted second quarter EBITDA of $71 million continued AMG’s sequential
    growth since the first quarter of 2024 despite continued weakness in lithium and
    vanadium prices.
    • AMG declares an interim dividend of €0.20 per ordinary share, to be paid in the
    third quarter of 2025
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  6. 5
    above. While the EBITDA decreased, AMG Vanadium continues to benefit from Section
    45X, as noted previously.
    AMG Vanadium is increasing its presence in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East. In the
    context of this effort, we were successful in bidding for significant quantities of spent
    catalyst in the region. Although this increase in working capital had a significant
    negative effect on our operating cash flow in the current quarter, this incremental
    inventory will help AMG Vanadium reduce the volatility of spent catalyst supply
    deliveries.
    AMG Technologies
    Q2 ‘25 Q2 ‘24 Change
    Revenue $241,034 $158,039 53%
    Adjusted gross profit 71,130 32,202 121%
    Operating profit 45,844 11,457 300%
    Adjusted EBITDA 52,543 17,820 195%
    AMG Technologies' second quarter 2025 revenue increased by $83 million, or 53%,
    compared to the same period in 2024. This improvement was driven largely by higher
    antimony sales prices in the current quarter.
    SG&A expenses in the second quarter of 2025 of $25 million were 24% higher than in
    the second quarter of 2024. This was due to additional personnel at AMG LIVA and
    AMG Engineering corresponding to the increased business development within those
    units, as well as higher personnel costs at AMG Antimony related to that unit’s
    increased sales activity.
    AMG Technologies’ adjusted EBITDA was $53 million during the second quarter, $35
    million higher than in the second quarter of 2024. The increase was due to higher
    profitability in AMG Antimony.
    AMG Engineering signed $51 million in new orders during the second quarter of 2025,
    representing a 0.63x book to bill ratio, mainly driven by strong orders of induction
    furnaces. AMG Engineering achieved an order backlog of $391 million as of June 30,
    2025.
    AMG Silicon, after temporarily halting operations during high electricity prices in weak
    markets, began running one of the four furnaces in the second quarter of 2025. Due to
    these interruptions in AMG Silicon’s operations, the profitability of the business is
    immaterial and excluded from adjusted EBITDA during this period of abnormal
    operations.
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  8. Ondanks de mooie cijfers zitten er ook nog wel minpunten in, zoals de equipment problemen in Brazilië waardoor ook in Q2 nog slechts 13.000 ton spodumene geleverd is en dit voor het 1e halfjaar nog slechts 25.000 ton is. Er wordt momenteel geproduceerd met een jaarcapaciteit van 110.000 ton dus als dit voor 2025 gehaald wordt dan moet er in het 2e halfjaar nog 85.000 ton geproduceerd en geleverd worden. Bij een nu al iets herstelde lithiumprijs zou dit de Q3 en Q4 cijfers nog van een extra boost kunnen voorzien.
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  11. quote:

    Ome J schreef op 30 juli 2025 18:33:

    Poh. Dit is toch echt wel heel sterk.
    En goeie vooruitzichten met name.
    Fantastisch.
    Just my opinion (!), maar denk dat we morgen rap de 28 gaan zien en 30 deze of volgende week zou mij niet verbazen
    Ik zie op het eerste oog toch veel spannende comments in de publicatie. Mis ik iets?

    SG&A lasten stijgen in alle divisies. Vanadium draait - op basis van huidige prijzen - matig zonder 45X (waarvoor afschaffing is aangekondigd in Trump's bill).
    Silicon slechts 1 vd 4 furnaces. Aangekondigd interim dividend is ongewijzigd tov 2024. Technische en dure technische problemen in Lithium divisie.
  12. Reactie
  13. Outlook
    An adjusted EBITDA of $129 million represents a very strong first half of 2025 despite low lithium and vanadium prices. The AMG Technologies segment continues to perform particularly well, driven by a very high order backlog in AMG Engineering and by high profitability in AMG Antimony. From today’s perspective, we estimate the temporary
    tailwind from selling low-priced antimony inventories at more than $50 million for the full year 2025. Based on that and considering uncertain economic and market conditions globally, we increase our adjusted EBITDA outlook from “$170 million, or more, in 2025”
    to “200 million, or more, in 2025.”
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  17. quote:

    Ome J schreef op 30 juli 2025 18:33:

    Poh. Dit is toch echt wel heel sterk.
    En goeie vooruitzichten met name.
    Fantastisch.
    Just my opinion (!), maar denk dat we morgen rap de 28 gaan zien en 30 deze of volgende week zou mij niet verbazen
    Mij wel.

    Met een wpa van $ 0,50 in HJ 1 en waarschijnlijk minder dan $ 1 voor 2025 (€ 0,85-0,90) zou dat een k/w van zo'n 35 inhouden. Dat lijkt me wat teveel van het goeie. Ik zou morgen al heel blij zijn met € 26,50 á € 27.
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    Dreeke schreef op 30 juli 2025 18:53:

    Hoe kom je hierbij? Staan maar ruim 32 miljoen aandelen uit. Ruim 200 miljoen ebitda, gaan we toch naar een netto winst per aandeel van circa €3.
    Juist. Dit is 6,25 euro EBITDA per aandeel. Als we dit x 5 Multiple doen, dan komen we op 31 euro uit. Dan hebben we lithium+vanadium op vrijwel nul gewaardeerd.
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